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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. Elevation dependent accums over here today...this is the eastern side of the South Mountain chain just south of the Mason Dixon.
  2. HRRR suggests most get no snow now but I guess my thought in mentioning the NWS was they could have put in the zones something like "Local areas of briefly heavy snow possible". I agree they should not have listed accums too high.
  3. I am surprised by their zone forecast. Seems a small amount of people may get under bands and get big snow but everyone may get some decent periods of at least snow TV...and their zones make it sound like a passing shower.
  4. @CarlislePaWx will like the 0z nam's predict of 4-8" in central Cumberland County. Temps still questionable but fun to see the lollipops of extreme snow with the upper low interaction.
  5. I know but modeling is still part of the fun with the board. It should not have changed to bullseye so far west in 6 hours.
  6. I guess since I am more focused on snow I was looking at the second half. Those 500MB maps the last few days have screamed for attention though I still worry about it being too warm.
  7. I think it was something they probably should have been warning about a few days but everyone's focus was on today when today was never really a threat with the warm weather preceding it. An inch or two of snow and no one will say much but a plow-able snow will bring about complaints.
  8. One thing I am going to point out...IF (stated in all Cap's with all the usual disclosures of what IF means) Lanco or really anyone in the LSV gets 4-6" of snow tomorrow and the rates are street stick worthy the NWS is going to be dished out some disdain. The Zone's say rain/snow showers ending by 1PM with a high of 41. Tomorrow is still a fairly busy travel day.
  9. We know winter weather is near when the Herps Derps makes its first appearance.
  10. We had some way down here as well. Happened with the heavier rates. Temps dipped to 34 but now back up to 37.
  11. Add to the fun...GFS snow map for tomorrow. NE PA is also snow from today.
  12. Icon is sort of on board as well though a bit warmer so the precip is there but not as much coverage of snow.
  13. The hrrr plays the retrograde surface low game. In fairness the Nam also did this for a panel. Surface temps are above freezing for almost all of PA during this time so rates, rates, rates.
  14. A couple days ago the NAM was showing a general 2-4" snowfall in the LSV so going to mention that it case it comes full back. It is halfway back now. Surprised this is the final output as the simulated radar maps look more impressive.
  15. I agree though the EC quick withdrawal of moisture bothers me. I still think Eastern LSV has the best chance being the closest to the departing surface low.
  16. There is also traffic cams of course....let you see the rate of traffic down 81. Here is one from Carlisle and Chambersburg. https://www.weatherbug.com/traffic-cam/?latlng=40.18684,-77.211774 https://www.weatherbug.com/traffic-cam/?latlng=39.963996,-77.578003
  17. Hope and prayers for her trip. Still a bit stressful with just regular wet roads.
  18. I do not think it is Its 35 on my side of the mountain and plain rain and the Wunderground map shows just a station or two at or below freezing as of now and rain has already passed through all these locations. So this morning, if I were driving, I would treat it like one of those "bridge freezes before roads" situations if on a small side road but I still cannot see any interstates freezing with all the traffic. FWIW, the WWA was dropped south of the Mason Dixon.
  19. I think it's wet roads only. Ec is also minoring out the Monday "event" as of now...for most except NE PA.
  20. Get some temps into the mid to upper 20's then we have some chaos. Seems some of these temps are a few degrees below modeled.
  21. Did just notice some colder temps at MDT, 34 York which apparently had some clouds breaking and down to 31. That's something at least.
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