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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. Bubbler86
    Here is Euro snow through 7PM tomorrow when the event is over...this should not include sleet and would be higher if the precip had not changed over.
  2. Bubbler86
    And the Rgem is a bit better than its more long term cousin but still warmer than I was expecting. "That's what HRRR" said suggests 2-4" over the LSV before changeover.
  3. Bubbler86
    Interesting the Canadian is the least wintry of the GFS, NAM, ICON,and itself. Not used to that. Jumps surfaces temps above freezing through 2/3 of PA. That's not going to happen in my opinion but used to having to mute the over exuberance of it.
  4. Bubbler86
    Nam follows up the 1-2" of snow with 6 solid hours of sleet with maybe a little Frz at the end for far south. Second round continues to start just after noon for Western LSV.
  5. Bubbler86
    12Z Nam continues the finger of snow to start of festivities around day break tomorrow. Moderate snow at that. Would make travel a bit difficult from the 7-10AM time slow in the LSV.
  6. Bubbler86
    It makes it to NY west of us but only to Williamsport area eastern half of the state. Very quickly reaches down post storm as mag has been pointing out.
  7. Bubbler86
    Naming us with 2 to 4 before sleet bomb.
  8. Bubbler86
    Moderate Snow over this way right now.
  9. Bubbler86
    18Z NAM is 4-6 hours of sleet bomb.
  10. Bubbler86
    I think a lot of it is just timing but look at this map showing that punch right up into the LSV while to the west and east the 850's are a bit lower. .
  11. Bubbler86
    There are only two things that I can count on every day. The sun rising and setting and the MA LR thread full of posts about a snow storm "signal" in days 11-15 and more posts about why storms in the days 5-10 frame, previous identified as snow storms in 11-15 fives days earlier, are now dumpster fires. If you counted up all the fantasy signal snow storms in days 11-15 one would have double the snow over each winter than all the Canadian snowfall maps posted here combined.
  12. Bubbler86
    My take of looking over it that we are in the unlucky spot of having 800- 850's punched up from the south before most of the second slug of precip gets there while those to our east and west have better timing either of precip time or less of an 800-850 punch.
  13. Bubbler86
    I do not believe they do for the Pivotal EC maps.
  14. Bubbler86
    The EC heard you and made sure all your closest neighbors got less than 2" as well so its fair.
  15. Bubbler86
    Interesting that it has the same NAM football finger of snow earlier on Saturday and then nothing for a while but part two does start as snow in the LSV Saturday afternoon.
  16. Bubbler86
    I especially find a bit of humor how it transfers from Western Indiana to Easton, PA between 228 and 234.
  17. Bubbler86
    @Flatheadsickness might have already delivered those composting worms to Daxx so maybe some got loose and that explains the itch?
  18. Bubbler86
    The of the GFS went to POO for the rest of the month. North Dakota Cutter next Weekend and missed phase end of month.
  19. Bubbler86
    Evan Kuchera is giving the middle finger to @CarlislePaWx and @Cashtown_Coop (nearby) on the GFS.
  20. Bubbler86
    Yep, going to be like a real winter event. Good call on that.
  21. Bubbler86
    Icon has a more congealed look with the finger WAA and the front passage being less separated and an all day frozen event. Snow maps not out yet but would guess 1-3" before change.
  22. Bubbler86
    Sponsored by the Mid Penn Bread and Dairy Association.
  23. Bubbler86
    I personally would be surprised if most areas do not get closer to 2" during that first push whether it is a sole finger football snow then shut off for a while like the Nam or more of a snow to sleet situation like some others I have seen.
  24. Bubbler86
    HIRES Nam would suggest a mixture of both but really very little precip on it at all...which is common for it from what I have seen...so think it is probably underdone.
  25. Bubbler86
    The NAM is holding steady with that 1-2" finger of snow Sat Am between 7AM and noon then a few hours of Sleet and Freezing rain in the afternoon. Large break between the two.
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