Bubbler86

I might have to start calling you Nuts? Ha.

Next weekend is one of those situations where I think it makes sense to look at alternate models since we are talking more about timing than synoptic features...The NoGaps is close to a phase and does throw fairly good precip back this way. JMA seems to be fairly off shore. The real stretch is to look at the WW3 for wave action and see where it is predicting a coastal to set up. Seems a bit off shore but of course its hard to tell beyond it disagreeing with the Euro and having something close. The Euro is a Sunshine Burger next weekend.

No phase and not storm on the 12Z Euro...for next weekend. Need some phasing or the southern disturbance is just pushed out to sea.

I have noticed that all together the last two years regardless of time of year. Assumed it was due to me aging and feeling it differently but it is very obvious when in Florida so I suspect there is also something else adding to it whether climate based or what not. Seems the sun feels more evident than it used to.

That is where you and I differ. To me Southern Canada is a frying pan on the panel. Low 30's. Really no cold air to work with except the layers above which means has to be heavy snow assuming those panels are exact.

GFS misses any sort of phase. My Biggest issue with all this is found in this Panel from mid day Saturday (next weekend). Going to take a specific circumstance to make a snow storm out of above freezing surface temps to our north.

Get yer' Icon... fresh off the grill.

Definitely.

Count me disappointed, Cash. LOL

Score another victory for the HRRR and Nam.

Unfortunately that's probably the game we play trying to hope for a partial phase. It's a one in whatever chance.

I imagine people like us, snow hours coming off the highs of the 1960"s, probably complained like us as well as they grew used to it thoughtful then we're cut off. Though I did notice that as the decade wore on the totals slowly went down from there peaks early on...so they were weaned off it to some degree.

We seem to really be in a wind tunnel rising up the side of the range. I got the speed from a local Wunderground report but I can hear it very loudly so I knew it was up there. Mostly gusty....sustained is in the low teens.

Mildly interesting that most short term models are advertising 2-6" over a fairly sizable portion of PA but no WWA's. Edit-Here is the latest HRR but the 3K Nam and WRF's are signalling a pasting in even a larger area. NWS is going against it looking at their zones and AFD. The HRR even gets it into Dauphin county tomorrow.

Boy is it windy...gusts in the 40's.

Ok Blizzard of 77.

GFS version of the SB Weekend storm. A bit close for S/E folks.

There you go. Jim Cantore with the high hair and I looked at MDT's 92 totals before sending that post but did not go out past that. Had just never heard anyone says Blizzard of 92 but my sometimes unfortunate LSV shaded glasses may have blinded me. I did make a post for the benefit of our Williamsport friends today so I am not always selfish.

The talk of the detriment it will do to bars in the North East will be getting ramped up soon.

I thought of you and @pawatch when I saw the WSW totals near you.

Yikes. The selfies are going a bit far all of a sudden. Put that snowmobile back in the shed!

Hopefully the former while still inside.

Of course for me personally my best snow is going to be when I bring up the CTP Radar and the screen is completed filled with DBZ's piling in from S/E to NW. That look always means we are measuring in feet and and we are in the meaty quadrant of CCB snow. I need the low to tuck in just a bit further South than NJ. So tuck or no tuck I say to Lupe please give us a DelMarVa tuck. I think you would be safe with that as well.

One Weenie tag for you not waiting for Blizz. Interesting thing about this one as it pertains to meteorology is that with a low that far off the coast we would usually want a full phase to explode possibilities but after looking at the temps I think keeping them separate but still partially interacting is the way to go.

Euro is close to seeing us go to the next "phase" of finally getting a snow storm...better than the cold front passage of yesterday. Not posting the snow map for this one. That is @Blizzard of 93 job whether he was born in 93 or not.