Bubbler86

FYI, here is a pic of a snowman I built in Florida in 2010 so get ready for that when you move :-)

I certainly do not like extreme cold temps though the historic nature of them interest me.

I think the GFS, Icon and CMC in particular have really struggled in the mid range. It has lead to an additional build up of anticipation every 6-12 hours because you just knew it was going to be different than last run b ut 90% of the time this winter different meant either worse or if better not enough for the more populated areas of the forum. I am used to much less drastic changes than this year has featured.

That is not at all what you want.

I think the continued ease of access to more and more models makes it worse. Digital snow has been freely available even this winter and the disappointment when it goes poof adds to the strain. LOL. Just heard there is a rocket lifting off from VA at 3:43 PM which should be visible if one has a clear view to the south/south east.

The final punt. I am waiting to punt with my interests as I still have wonderment in next Friday. This Sunday night did not develop at all. Punting for the rest of the winter is just a two week punt for the Met winter folks at this point.

Going to be close based on the models. I am sure a lot of us will. I misread the 2M maps yesterday when posting. Thought I was on the 0Z 2/14 Map but was on the 12Z (7AM) when looking at when MDT would go below 35. Next chance to break the string would be Wed.

I just looked at MDT's temps from after midnight and it was 38 so my comment yesterday about the 35 and under string being broken was wrong. MDT may go 30 or more days now hitting 35 or more each day. Its possible they stay below 35 tomorrow but otherwise it goes at least another week.

When I pointed that out in mid December, to close out the month, I was called a "banterer" so now I am touchy about it! Ha. It was not even banter anyway . I saw models show no freezing temps for two weeks so I punted. LOL.

Just to be clear, I am not trying to derail your snow talk. Weather is weather....I have been trying to pump snow chances too :-).

Not sure if it was mentioned here but last month was the Warmest January in recorded history for the planet. What's unique about it is that it the only non El Nino month in the top 10. The most stunning thing I read and had not known was that January 2020 also marked the 44th consecutive January and the 421st consecutive month overall with temperatures above the 20th century average. Kind of makes comparing things to past times useless.

We are not in emergency mode or whatever it is called. Free for all.

Piggly Wiggly lives on in the South East and WV. They are mostly in lower income or lower populated towns now.

Good memories for a lot of us. I stopped there a few years ago. Would never dare risk staying over night though.

Pedro's Weather Report Chili today, Blizzard Next Week. You never sausage a snow map.

Cannot blame the plants and trees. Tomorrow will be the first day it does not get to 35 at MDT since January 21st. 23 consecutive days of 35 or higher of which 21 of them were 40 or higher.

Put it in the books. The Valentines Day snow storm of 2020.

That's a major win this season. Some fun white water rafting out there.

I like everyone to feel good about stuff so going to insert some weenie "It will get better" phrases here such as- Cold air will come from above, you just need the rate to increase, with this dewpoint I am sure to be all frozen, the HRRR is pulling a coup and changing us all to snow, it is me or does the radar look like it is back building the snow, The MA forum is reporting snow so its coming your way.

Voyager mentioned this the other day but we are having an occasional flake mix in now but about 800 feet up it is mostly snow per this pic.

Snowing out here now....a minor miracle.

We dropped several degrees when the rain started but so light right now I am not looking for flakes but still think we could see a few here...no accums of course. Lt rain and 39 right now.

Dr. No is saving us a lot of typing for 7 days from now with its Rust Belt Runner. He's like the Oprah of the Met world...Detroit You get rain!!! Lake Erie You Get Rain!!! Mt Washington You get Rain!!! The N/W corner of Maine You get Rain!! It does usher in one of the more impressive Eastern Half of the US Cold fronts for the season but the cold air evacuates faster than the crowd at an intermission of a Risk Astley concert. The Precip map for the weekend of the 22nd is almost comical with the only lower 48 precip being Ocean Effect (fake) rain in the Space Coast of Florida.

I never seem to be able to make heads or tails of the decisions for the advisories. We have had two this year when it was very evident we were going to stay well above freezing and our zones had no mention of any winter precip yet your zone forecast calls for straight freezing rain and no advisory. I have to think any real ice concerns are going to be very localized and not widespread but if something like the NAM's depiction of several hours of mashed potato snow happened then things could get hairy.