Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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HRRR continues to insist you and I are getting 1-3" before the system even comes ashore. -
The end of the heatwave (though it is not reached 90 at my place in the last 7 days) is a nice bonus of the post Trop Storm week coming up.
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A nice 63 degree morning here. About 1/4" of rain for the weekend. Hoping I get fringed enough to break 1". HRRR drops 2-3" on me before 7PM tonight.
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I was looking at trends. To me getting 1" would be missing out on the big rains.
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That's why his grass is dying. He has routed all his irrigation efforts to the 7 leafed plants. LOL KIDDING!
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At some point we need either constant 2-4" weeks or a soaking 5-10" long term rain. Its too late for me to worry about grass anymore. The summer destroyed all my work and I am going to have to pay to start over. I am worried about all my friends wells though. Water levels are back down to their late July lows.
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You, myself and @Cashtown_Coop have the potential to completely miss out. Being on the outside of a Tropical Storm means drier than normal. I believe KHGR is currently at their larger ever deficit for this late in the year coming in close to 13" below "normal" for 2020.
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Starting to look more and more like a Susq and East event as to serious rains.
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I do think the Training Time, Daxx's and Voyagers of the forum could be in for some flood warnings.
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You are probably on a pace to have 100$ percent more qpf this summer vs. parched. I would guess you are what 20-30" since early May?
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18Z GFS Op wails on most of the LSV
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I am happy not being in the bullseye 48 hours out. The Euro is out of its wheel house time frame. Its now-casting time. I will be happy if it covers the mulch. If it gets too close it will turn to all rain. I have had mine its time for others to enjoy. Why hasn't the NWS issued a WSW? It could all change at 0Z.
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Wow. Yep, we lost quite a bit of our yard. I had someone over this week and he said its gone. I can try to reseed in between weeds, this fall and again Spring, or dig up the yard and start over. Crikey!
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Actually does not look too bad in that pic. Always seems to look worse when the sun is at is peak and a bit better in the evening.
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That's because it is dead.
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Personal note, my wife, pets and I all evacuated a river house in Bradenton, Florida for Irma. We were told the house was probably going to be badly damaged or destroyed and it was a mandatory go. We went to the center of the state, near the Villages, and had worse storm issues than if we had stayed in Bradenton. Tracking tropical storms is fun but there is nothing I know of that is less predictable.
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EC verbatim is major, major flooding from rain in some areas...not as severe tidal flooding I would guess.
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EC is coming fully inland just north of Miami.
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GFS brings it inland, or VERY close, over Central Florida back out to come back well inland through East Central NC and JUST misses being a big factor for the S/E LSV.
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It's a nice A/C saving 75 at lunchtime.
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I just wanted something in the 2-4" range to put a real dent in this. another 1" rain will not help unless we get several more in fairly quickly succession (might help your grass but not the water ways that are drying up). That pond at Red Run is terrible right now.
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It's like Christmas in July. Massive snow storm a week out starts the cuts as we get closer to the event.
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Yep, if it does not drive inland before the Outer Banks it usually just keeps going east. Need the tug or a block to do a Hazel like loop-de-loop.
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More rain coming this weekend but Euro and GFS both moved away from providing most of PA major tropical relief.
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Yea, we had fairly dark greens but it was just a light rain when I went to bed and my gauge had around 1/10th this AM. More to come though :-)
