Bubbler86

We switched back over to Sn+ for the last 30 min so up to 2.5". 32/31. A sleet line that really means business is only miles away though.

Ahh, thought you were a bit closer to the the ridges. There is still some snow mixed with the sleet here so you are good for a bit hopefully. I hope you get exactly 4". Max out but keep the total within my prediction for you :-). With the sleet here I am going down as 2" for my snow total. It snowed 3/4 of an inch in the last 45 min before the sleet came.

Wouldn't you think that you would hold on for a bit being east of the ridge? At least a few hours. The snow right before the line gets there is intense. Probably 2" an hour if it would only last.

I am learning my micro climate here and this is a good lesson. Not sure I have many ice storms being on this side of the mountain. Watching the HRRR I saw it only giving me 1-2" and holding your area as snow longer and it did a good job with the call.

Great depiction of the line. It is punching up west of South Mountain.

I think that was about an hour or so ago. I am only 1/2 mile from the MD line and only about 15-20 miles north of 70 so it was close to me back then. You have the better spot for this one. Radar makes it appear the sleet line is indeed just to my south.

Have about a 75% Snow/25% sleet mix here Coming down very hard. These change over lines really dump snow and it adds up fast. About 2" here now.

Yea, its forecast of pushing the low into Erie is going to be more right than wrong if the low does indeed cut through Central PA and over Scranton.

1/2 inch on non road surfaces...roads getting a little white tint to them. 32/29 with SN+

The ICON is actually a decent model. It ended up being too cold in runs early this week but it was one of first to signal at least part of this day would be snowy when most other LR guidance was rain.

That blossoming area to your southwest has laid down about 1/4" on the decks and grass here. Still above 32 so roads just wet.

Just had a wind gust of 31 here. Quick heavy snow burst but tailed off now.

Most agreed except that everyone keeps saying that DP's are not the issue but if it is not below freezing at the surface it can snow forever and is just going to melt on the roads except in the heaviest bands...that is why I keep referencing DP's. Most of the LSV has not had 5" or more on Kuchera for a day or two but we were progged to get so much sleet that the WSW might have worked out. HRRR is progging much lower qpf's all together now and that probably played into it. HRRR delayed the arrival of heavy snow to 5-7PM almost 12 hours ago so if that had dropped it this AM it would have seemingly made more sense but not a big deal either way.

They just dropped the warnings for LSV. Surprising this late. If anything the trends have been pro snow the last few hours. Dp's are below forecasted.

Hopefully David Dunn wins.

CTP PTC forecasts were a 2-4 inches higher in Central Dauphin and Lebanon counties vs. Cumberland + Perry but Carlisle is sitting pretty right now. I believe he said he was weest of town close to the ridges?

LSV wise I think you are in the best position. Both north and west. If you get the rates you may be the jackpot today. I think I over did it on my calls for western pa but my 2 to 4 for you might not be enough!

Also as mag alluded to we dry slot quickly tonight which will hopefully cut down on the rain. Ain't nobody got time for rain.

Latest hrrr has lowered the dp's a little....good trend for front end thump of a few inches.

38 and drizzle in Waynesboro