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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. Bubbler86
    Curious if yours accumulated on the streets/driveways? I was at or below freezing the whole event and it would never stick over here. It was kind of strange.
  2. Bubbler86
    LOL. I had to have some fun with that as I think I put my call up there when you were still not overly interested in this one.
  3. Bubbler86
    If you want to go ahead and tell me that I nailed it calling for 3-5 for you that will be ok. If not, that is ok as well. :-)
  4. Bubbler86
    Two fairly reliable reports of 5-6" in Northern York County. Apparently a band of 2" per hour type rates set up there for over an hour.
  5. Bubbler86
    Just tapering off here. Ended up with 2.5" measurable on side surfaces and about 1/2" estimated of melt. Roads never became covered despite temps in the upper 20's.
  6. Bubbler86
    Sn+ here. Would probably have 2" at this point if we were just a few degrees colder. Grass is almost covered but roads are just wet. 30 degrees. Edit-This is the first snow, since moving here last summer, that I am seeing the effects and advantage of uplifting being on the side of South Mountain. 15-20 dBz echos become 30 dBz as they cross over.
  7. Bubbler86
    This must have been a post about the ICON. Deleted before the paper was dry.
  8. Bubbler86
    Has been snowing light to moderate here for about 1.5 hours. No accumulation outside grass and trash can type stuff. It is 30 but just a bit too warm to take over the roads.
  9. Bubbler86
    Some of it appears to be temp related as much as qpf. NAM has it getting in the/near the 40's in Lancaster county.
  10. Bubbler86
    12Z NAM looks totally different as it pertains to snowfall today. It has not been too reliable this go around.
  11. Bubbler86
    From NWS AFD There remains the potential for localized snow squalls on Wednesday as the leading edge of -20C to -30C air at 850mb plows into central PA. Lake effect snow trajectories are focused outside of CTP CWA into extreme northwest PA (Erie Co.) and mainly southwest NY.
  12. Bubbler86
    Yep, two main camps out there. The Icon leading the "NWS just screwed up again" camp with just melting light snow around MDT. I would feel a lot better about tomorrow if it were not going to be near or above freezing. This is not a major snow either way and taking place during daylight will limit its disruption but that 3-6" forecast is ballsy.
  13. Bubbler86
    HRRR mostly agrees with Nam though it is advertising a plowable 4-6" just to the east of Cashtown along the mason dixon as well as in Nut land but again temps are not good so something is not right on that depiction. Mid to upper 30's when the snow is falling.
  14. Bubbler86
    18z NAM sort of "held serve" but no one is nam'ed. 2-3" across most of the SV North to South, 4-6 for Lehigh Valley. Western half of PA is fairly dry. Roads will just be wet without intensity.
  15. Bubbler86
    Its 3-6 for the Northern LSV. 2-4 for the southern half. They have overshot their load two storms in a row now. 3-6" is very high compared to guidance.
  16. Bubbler86
    LWX is going with up top 4" at the Mason-Dixon line. Seems high. If the offices coordinate that would suggest CTP should be going 2-4 area wide, east of the mountains, with higher totals on the east side of their area.
  17. Bubbler86
    The Euro has been all over the place. Not performing well with these smaller events.
  18. Bubbler86
    The Icon has still been doing quite well with consistency. I have only seen the FV3 through 18 but it sounded good based on a precip map posted in MA.
  19. Bubbler86
    The GFS is more like a long term light to moderate snow vs. a squall line. Most of the day tomorrow. Front seems to go through your area around mid day.
  20. Bubbler86
    CMC is....ehh....1-3 for most of the state...3-4 far east LSV.
  21. Bubbler86
    In my eyes the mayhem makes it more fun...more of a challenge if one likes to do a forecast.
  22. Bubbler86
    I am a bit worried with it as if we can keep surface temps down in the AM (we meaning far West LSV) we may get 1-3 in that morning slug then another 1-2 with the Front Passage possibly making my call bust low.
  23. Bubbler86
    I am downgrading the west side of my first call with these questionable surface temps and the east trend. Mag, 2001KX, Bubbler, Carlisle, Canderson, Atomic, Cashtown, -1-3" wmsptwx, Nut, Itstrainingtime, Daxx, Voyager-3-5"
  24. Bubbler86
    You should check out the GFS then.
  25. Bubbler86
    Every hour that goes by makes this look like more and more of an Eastern PA threat as to breaking 2".
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