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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. White out here. Can just see the neighbors house....a few hundred feet at the most.
  2. Temps spiking here as the "squall line" nears. Up 3 degrees in the last 30 min.
  3. Just saw this posted in MA. Impressive. Could we see a snow funnel cloud (kidding, sort of).
  4. Blizz, I would gladly give up this 2-3" if the rest of the GFS, and its 5-6" of rain over the next 10 days, can also be thrown out!
  5. Wow, so strange. We got 2 1/2" and the rates were there but it would never stick here. I saw webcams down in Hagerstown and it did not stick on those roads either.
  6. Curious if yours accumulated on the streets/driveways? I was at or below freezing the whole event and it would never stick over here. It was kind of strange.
  7. LOL. I had to have some fun with that as I think I put my call up there when you were still not overly interested in this one.
  8. If you want to go ahead and tell me that I nailed it calling for 3-5 for you that will be ok. If not, that is ok as well. :-)
  9. Two fairly reliable reports of 5-6" in Northern York County. Apparently a band of 2" per hour type rates set up there for over an hour.
  10. Just tapering off here. Ended up with 2.5" measurable on side surfaces and about 1/2" estimated of melt. Roads never became covered despite temps in the upper 20's.
  11. Sn+ here. Would probably have 2" at this point if we were just a few degrees colder. Grass is almost covered but roads are just wet. 30 degrees. Edit-This is the first snow, since moving here last summer, that I am seeing the effects and advantage of uplifting being on the side of South Mountain. 15-20 dBz echos become 30 dBz as they cross over.
  12. This must have been a post about the ICON. Deleted before the paper was dry.
  13. Has been snowing light to moderate here for about 1.5 hours. No accumulation outside grass and trash can type stuff. It is 30 but just a bit too warm to take over the roads.
  14. Some of it appears to be temp related as much as qpf. NAM has it getting in the/near the 40's in Lancaster county.
  15. 12Z NAM looks totally different as it pertains to snowfall today. It has not been too reliable this go around.
  16. From NWS AFD There remains the potential for localized snow squalls on Wednesday as the leading edge of -20C to -30C air at 850mb plows into central PA. Lake effect snow trajectories are focused outside of CTP CWA into extreme northwest PA (Erie Co.) and mainly southwest NY.
  17. Yep, two main camps out there. The Icon leading the "NWS just screwed up again" camp with just melting light snow around MDT. I would feel a lot better about tomorrow if it were not going to be near or above freezing. This is not a major snow either way and taking place during daylight will limit its disruption but that 3-6" forecast is ballsy.
  18. HRRR mostly agrees with Nam though it is advertising a plowable 4-6" just to the east of Cashtown along the mason dixon as well as in Nut land but again temps are not good so something is not right on that depiction. Mid to upper 30's when the snow is falling.
  19. 18z NAM sort of "held serve" but no one is nam'ed. 2-3" across most of the SV North to South, 4-6 for Lehigh Valley. Western half of PA is fairly dry. Roads will just be wet without intensity.
  20. Its 3-6 for the Northern LSV. 2-4 for the southern half. They have overshot their load two storms in a row now. 3-6" is very high compared to guidance.
  21. LWX is going with up top 4" at the Mason-Dixon line. Seems high. If the offices coordinate that would suggest CTP should be going 2-4 area wide, east of the mountains, with higher totals on the east side of their area.
  22. The Euro has been all over the place. Not performing well with these smaller events.
  23. The Icon has still been doing quite well with consistency. I have only seen the FV3 through 18 but it sounded good based on a precip map posted in MA.
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