Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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I was guessing as such but did not want to laugh at our total of 7" (that is more than I had in May, June, July and August combined). Northern Franklin county is skewing my area. Thanks for the reply! -
SO what is the meaning of areal precip? I know most of the LSV is below normal for the last 60 days so it cannot mean actual precip. Here if you take Mid June to Mid August we are about 4" below "average"
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No doubt. The safest best right now would be to say basically no rain for anyone. Fingers crossed its not that bad though.
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Not a lot of people but some in S Central and moving over toward S/E in Adams but the trend was definitely less than 6 Z.
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Nam might still show that but it definitively lessened the totals from 6Z to 12Z. Edit-It actually lowered the totals in Western PA but still going to lay down 1" plus in some areas S Central and South East PA.
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That is the trend. If the 12Z Nam holds then there is still some question. FWIW 12Z Nam still rains in the LSV today.
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If you read their AFD they are torn between the Euro and Icon vs. everything else. Most models bring a weak low right under us and lay down the goods on Sunday for the southern half of PA. See Nam below. Unfortunately pretty much nothing helps northern PA now.
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This winter people might have to pour water into the Susky up north if MDT folks want their normal ice jams. Lots of dark red's on this map. I believe that is bad as it can get. My way and West/North from there. Lots of un-ranked as well so I bet there are a lot more reds in reality.
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That is pretty crazy. I would have been fearful leaving a home with ho roof.
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That chart shows why some people in Arizona and Nevada fill their yards with rocks instead of trying to grow grass.
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Yea, it has gotten so bad the last couple months that I hesitate to even look at the GFS at this point. The thing is the Nam, Icon, CMC had a similar wet period for Thur-Sun and they are are turning out to be wrong except Dr. Drought.
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Yep. That has been a trend this summer. Euro did not do nearly this well over the winter especially in short term. A ridiculous 75 degrees and 70% humidity this AM. This literally is Florida weather for the time of the day.
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Hate to say it but we could have just posted the Euro as the official NWS forecast and would have been pretty much right. Euro shows little to no Precip for most of PA for the next 10 days.
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LOL. The NWS is feeling your love!
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I was actually thinking you had scored some the last two days. About 1/4" through most of your area. Not enough to help the river though. Here is 48 hour estimated rainfall.
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Keep those calories down.
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They must be doing old fashioned meteorology and ignoring the Euro's influence on a decision.
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Dr. No.
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Euro on a totally different planet for this weekend. Warm and no rain for anyone in PA. No rain for anyone until Central VA actually. Suppressed by a blocking High.
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Fringed.
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A line of storms is forming to my west and is moving West by South in unison as if a front of some kind was triggering them.
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I mentioned this before so apologies for the repeat but Ocala, FL got 1/2-1".
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Some on this board (the current iteration) blamed Y2k for what happened.
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Since I was gone for 15 years I will not give a top 5 but I will say that Jan 24/25 2000 would be in my top 2.
