No way I miss out on wind here I can almost guarantee that. We get wind like no where I have ever lived. Rain. We could be at 100% chance and still miss out because of the Great Valley down-sloping and drying out/skipping us so often.
Just looked at the EC. Shows Laura missing a possible phase like situation with a Northern Stream System and missing our Sub-Forum (as of today). The potential course is changing so drastically each run its not worth too much discussion but until the EC shows rain I am not putting on my rain coat.
10 day Euro has a little hope for some lightish rain. East Texas shows up with more than some in this forum have received May through August combined. Incredible. Many are going to 4 months including a whole summer and only get 6-8" of rain during that time.
Not sure. We were down in Central MD and the car therm was showing 98-99 so it was HOT all around on the southern tier. HGR only got to 91 so a bit of a spike up here. 91, 95...its all too hot. LOL.
So it looks to me like the EC lowered highs for next week. Still hot but not record breaking by any stretch. I did not see one 90 at MDT through the whole week at 1PM while, as one example, yesterday's 12Z run had MDT at 94 at 1PM on Tuesday while today it shows 88 at the same time.
Its saying 125% of normal the last 30 days. Which means if we should have received 3" the last 30 days we got a little over that which sounds about right. But does little to change the 8-10" deficit for the last 120 or so days. We need way over normal to catch up. So if we were 10" below normal coming into the 30 days and got 1/2" over normal we are now 9.5" below normal.
I think the take away is that the West, North and Central got worse. South Central stayed terrible (average rain after being double digits down is not good) and much of the East, especially S/E, piled it on. LOL.
The most recent drought map is out and if you read the dialog for the NE they mention deficits of 4-8" in 90 days in New England pushing those areas to D2 so it all does not seem overly consistent to me.