Bubbler86

Welcome!

Right into the bubbler screw zone. I should have thought about cad before I bought this house.

In their defense a lot of modeling has had that bullseye about where they show it on their map...

I have not had an update from my wife in about an hour and 1/2 but think Rouzerville is around 3" right now.

Daxx has posted several times in the last week....just last night I believe....but have not seen Itstrainingtime in a long time.

I was thinking you guys were assuming that at this point. Just some light showers or drizzle. Maybe not all snow but going to be a crippling blow.

I posted the final snow fall map vs. the accumulated snow...trying to weed out any sleet On my second sentence was saying that everyone loses 500MB and the lower part of the LSV actually go above freezing at 850. Your snow map is fairly similar to the one I posted...just 1-2" discrepancies except maybe that one 10. accum on yours.

GFS holds the column past 12Z but gives it up sometime in the next 3 hours. 500's again for everyone and 850's for lower part of the LSV. Using the Pivotal Snow Cover maps shows a nice appreciable dump in the center of the state.

I was still on the 3K so looked and at 12Z Tuesday the 540 Line is well up into PA and much of S/W 2/3rd of the state is over freezing at 500

3K had a similar look but much less in the totals department but I have seen the 3K come up way to short on qpf totals so I personally do not trust it for that vs. trends. I agree the 12K/old Nam is overdone on totals but the time period of non snow is the same between both. 12 hours of moderate to heavy ice was the main take away and that is a lot. I am staying up to see what Goofus has to say.

With that much sleet you would have to forgo building a Snow Man and chose to go with a Sleet Stack instead.

0Z Nam really gung ho on freezing rain. Not sure I believe this but not a map you see every day. Some of this has to be sleet. General 3-6" snow and then 12-15 hours of ice!

Welcome! We are just a tad more welcoming here than the forum south of us :-).

Interesting. My July comment was obviously a joke but it we were to get a true HECS with cold temps afterwards schools would definitely be scrambling to get days in.

The Point to Click probably gives us the answer...an ADDITIONAL 3-6" for the LSV. 1-2 tonight and 3-6 extra. Schools might be closed Mon and Tue instead of just 2 hours tomorrow. July 4th will be as American as Apple Pie and Schools finally finishing their 180 days.

I meant to say Nam above but guess you figured that out. :-). I am down here until either Wed night or Thursday AM. Keeping both options open in case it snows so much that flights are still delayed Wed. Very excited about the LR as well. Have not had a chance to look today but I would think we have a shot at snow every 3-4 days for the rest of the month. Some times it will cut but at least there is a chance.

I wold have thought that too but the wording on the AFD seems to suggest total of 3-6 for the LSV (the only one I read).

Regardless of snow maps and sleet vs snow the 18Z has a nice 1-2 shot and is certainly deserving of a warning if its depiction is close to correct.

i am not sure who is "trolling" and as all I have seen is the occasional poster, myself included, join in the convo and then a new guy that keeps talking about Harrisburg as if he is the wrong forum. This "you are in the wrong forum" stuff is for the birds in most cases. I will only speak for myself when I say that anyone from the MA, NE, NYC, anywhere...is welcome to contribute to any board I am part of as we are all here for enjoyment of weather tracking and such...especially winter weather for those here now. If someone from another forum is always coming into sub forums and trying work up the crowd that is not totally cool but as you stated I have not seen that and that would be what I consider trolling.

Canderson and Blizz going to the MA and representing!

That includes sleet and ice. Snowfall maps were a bit less.

Yea, verbatim the 12z Nam is really close to this busting badly (as it pertains to snow specifically) for South PA. Funny how models seem to know where the mason dixon. So often I see cut offs right on the line. Need cad at all levels to keep it flakes.

@Voyager is going to trash my predict and hug this one.

You are risking a permaban! Lol.

I even promised myself to include you this time and then forgot. I know where Marysville is. Second event- Bliz. 2-4" with significant icing. Lollipops of the up to 6" near your house:-). Another LSV predict. Monday- Schools on two hour delay, modified morning kinder. Tuesday- Schools closed Wednesday- Schools on two hour delay, modified morning kinder.