Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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The 18Z GFS moves/transfers/retrogrades the Low into South Central VA now. It is still too late, at least using the GFS output, to save us from turnover but we are still far enough out to keep open the possibility of that transfer happening earlier. Where the low at the same time frame of 12Z was in the panhandle of WV is it near Richmond now. This would jive with Mag's and Millvilles calls for a mostly icy result.
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Steady snow here now...medium sized flakes.
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If you give me $30/MO (Paypal) I can fix that for you. :-)
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Icon snow panel...actually not that far off from other models as this includes tonight. Icon is just cold for the wet part of the storm as it transfers/drives the low into S VA.
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The previous panel is colder in some locales
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TT does not have all the panels yet but this should suffice for shock.
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Extreme Surface Temps Monday Morning (Icon)
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Every person needs a place to hang their hat and that is our place today.
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I think they will fly right away as well....32 with a DP of 27. Just a bit west of me still.
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The Icon is still going to be our Icon at 18Z. Snow maps should be fun to look at.
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I think it is extremely uncomfortable to go out in rain or sleet so in this case, especially since it is the weekend, I will try to time when the dry slot comes through but before the hounds of winter come rolling in to lock in whatever is still on the driveway. I have to do about 1/8" of a mile with a shovel. LOL. I refuse to get a blower.
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18Z Nam did not budge in phasing this thing but keeps ground temps close to freezing through much of it so Ice. But it eventually does the transfer so there is still a chance it is doing it to late.
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And by waffling I did not mean disrespect so I should say softening.
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Is Horst waffling to a colder scenario?
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Less phasing...
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One could argue that it is less progressive. 12-24 hours behind the GFS. But I was posting for the fun of it since this has been a week of model hounding.
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The 12Z NAVGEM holds back the southern vort, less or no phase, and slides it off the SC coast. Congrats Charlotte! LOL.
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Cannot not talk about Accuweather without throwing Elliot Abrams some air time. He is from Philly. Though, I cannot tell you how often, in the 90's mainly, it would start snowing in Philly and he would crush my hopes by getting on KYW and pointing out how warm it was in NC and that was what was coming our way.
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Sure and for me it is all about the trends especially this close in so trend wise it is not looking so good.
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There is a chance today's snow will be the only snow we see as to stuff that accumulates. Unfortunate. Tracking is fun but the letdowns suck.
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I suspect the Euro is going to show very little snow for the LSV. 2-4" type west of Susq. and 0-2 East. Euro followed the days trend.
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Just showed up on MA. Surely some sleet in there but hug away.
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Have not seen any UKMET snowfall maps but the path of the low was similar to the 0Z Euro. If today's Euro somehow holds ground it would be good to see what the UK really put down and it is is totally rain or has a front end thump. .
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Latest HRRR snowfall totals for tonight.
