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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. The Nam does over do qpf totals so the joking about a "namming" is fairly legit but it is extremely useful for trend based forecasting. With that said it was by itself this time so could not buy into it fully even if it ends up being the best forecast. It dismays me to see Red Taggers cast it off or start sentences with "Good thing its not going to be right because its the Nam..."
  2. I am sorry. I am just discussing models. I will keep it down. My favorite part of this is model dissection.
  3. My brother just passed this on to me. Subject to change per bottom right. Lol.
  4. Well my county is pretty long. That 1" contour is pretty far from me. It's only about .87 over me of which I would guess most comes today. Just one map.
  5. That is indeed a dry slot on the EC. Thanks for that map.
  6. It's some dry slot as well but Nam keeps precip running through most of the storm for N MD.
  7. On the Nam it is due to some fairly extensive mixing to the west of the Catoctins. When I bought into this area I did not realize we would lose the column so quickly on most variety of storms. No immediate mountains to my west to protect. Sort of like a funnel between Mercersburg and Adams county. Edit-Actually gets the mixing up into LSV as well.
  8. Nc and North. That storm helped make these boards more popular.
  9. Good call. On a more lighthearted note the herpderps is a topic of convo all of a sudden. Lol
  10. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs_para&p=sn10_acc&rh=2021013100&fh=72&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
  11. Some of us are just talking about depictions and not rooting.
  12. Yea if it tucked inland that would be no bueno but results I just saw on the GFS were much less Miller B risky.
  13. The farther south transfer certainly opens the door for a more wide spread storm for VA north and east. More realistic results.
  14. Incredible amounts on Rgem a bit east from before but thinking maybe a 40" total. Edit....55 inches!
  15. It continues to want to teleport itself off the New England coast. You can see the bagginess in the bars up there.
  16. Much of southern lsv and se pa is dryslot or snizzle on the pivotal maps I am seeing.
  17. Lol. I think Roger writes like Larry Cosgrove. He always reminded me of Larry.
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