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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. On the Nam it is due to some fairly extensive mixing to the west of the Catoctins. When I bought into this area I did not realize we would lose the column so quickly on most variety of storms. No immediate mountains to my west to protect. Sort of like a funnel between Mercersburg and Adams county. Edit-Actually gets the mixing up into LSV as well.
  2. Nc and North. That storm helped make these boards more popular.
  3. Good call. On a more lighthearted note the herpderps is a topic of convo all of a sudden. Lol
  4. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs_para&p=sn10_acc&rh=2021013100&fh=72&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
  5. Some of us are just talking about depictions and not rooting.
  6. Yea if it tucked inland that would be no bueno but results I just saw on the GFS were much less Miller B risky.
  7. The farther south transfer certainly opens the door for a more wide spread storm for VA north and east. More realistic results.
  8. Incredible amounts on Rgem a bit east from before but thinking maybe a 40" total. Edit....55 inches!
  9. It continues to want to teleport itself off the New England coast. You can see the bagginess in the bars up there.
  10. Much of southern lsv and se pa is dryslot or snizzle on the pivotal maps I am seeing.
  11. Lol. I think Roger writes like Larry Cosgrove. He always reminded me of Larry.
  12. For my clients I am going with 15-1 ratios so forecasting 12-18" still even for the Western LSV back into Fulton country where models are underplaying a bit but 15-1 ratios with the qpf fields I am seeing support it. Out your way definitely Kuch I would think. I cannot even imagine forecasting 30" for the Eastern LSV. Doubt any reputable place does that.
  13. Always seems to come out faster here https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rdps&p=sn10_acc&rh=2021013018&fh=60&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
  14. GFS is a smaller mauling (than the Rgem) for the Eastern LSV
  15. Those 30-40" totals in the Eastern LSV would really make me smile for you guys over there. Makes the hobby worth it.
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