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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. Bubbler86
    Yep it's coming down pretty good. 2.5" or so here
  2. Bubbler86
    But that is the Kuchera. Panels 30, 36 and 42 show it is the upper 20's and low 30's in the LSV including some mixing on the 30 panel if I remember correctly. So I saw anywhere from .7" to 1.3" qpf for different parts of the LSV which is the reasoning behind my saying it showed 8-12" for the rest of the storm starting now. If someone got 14" then great. Like I said it was a good snow.
  3. Bubbler86
    Sigh
  4. Bubbler86
    Its fairly warm to be going with Kuchera right now. Euro leaves a few parts of the LSV with 6-8" total from here on out 10-1. Like I said a good snow. Not approaching 2 feet like a few runs ago.
  5. Bubbler86
    I was speaking in terms of heavy snow. It generally leaves the LSV with 4-8 from the Coastal and 3-5" tonight at 10-1 ratios. Still a good snow.
  6. Bubbler86
    Euro gives a little love to S/E PA but is quite far up the coast East of AC, NJ tomorrow at 7PM.
  7. Bubbler86
    Euro has Coastal on SC/GA border at 7PM.
  8. Bubbler86
    Yea got a "stick a fork in it" dry slot for a lot. Throw it out!
  9. Bubbler86
    It was down near 0 at the NY/PA border this AM so definitely a pool of cold air to the North.
  10. Bubbler86
    It's all I got. I am not posting the Rap because it is not good. Wanted to post something positive.
  11. Bubbler86
    It's a tad patchy but the HRRR drops .25 to .50" of qpf over the southern third of PA (a few .75 blues out west) over the next 8 hours. All snow.
  12. Bubbler86
    Who knew there was an Air Wisconsin?
  13. Bubbler86
    Should @Cashtown_Coop open the MDT contest back up for adjustments? :-). Actually I would not adjust down much. I still think MDT has a shot at over a foot.
  14. Bubbler86
    The Nam, CMC and RGEM all show it starting to transfer again tomorrow evening and I am convinced that is robbing some of our potential for a far reaching deform band. Similar to the way a cluster of storms can rob from areas around them.
  15. Bubbler86
    HRRR has some decent banding for you after 5PM...for several hours at least.
  16. Bubbler86
    Come on now....
  17. Bubbler86
    Para not so much but still a decent snow in Northern and Central LSV. Just not to the level of the GFS totals.
  18. Bubbler86
    GFS is a bit better tucked than other 12Z Guidance
  19. Bubbler86
    The Nam does over do qpf totals so the joking about a "namming" is fairly legit but it is extremely useful for trend based forecasting. With that said it was by itself this time so could not buy into it fully even if it ends up being the best forecast. It dismays me to see Red Taggers cast it off or start sentences with "Good thing its not going to be right because its the Nam..."
  20. Bubbler86
    I am sorry. I am just discussing models. I will keep it down. My favorite part of this is model dissection.
  21. Bubbler86
    My brother just passed this on to me. Subject to change per bottom right. Lol.
  22. Bubbler86
    Nam gives a lot some retrograde love.
  23. Bubbler86
    Well my county is pretty long. That 1" contour is pretty far from me. It's only about .87 over me of which I would guess most comes today. Just one map.
  24. Bubbler86
    That is indeed a dry slot on the EC. Thanks for that map.
  25. Bubbler86
    It's some dry slot as well but Nam keeps precip running through most of the storm for N MD.
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