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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. Bubbler86
    The 12Z NAM 84 Hr has it above freezing from 725 down to the the surface at MDT. That's a pretty thick no freeze zone. 23 degrees and light rain over here. Amazingly the roads are not too bad.
  2. Bubbler86
    We used to be on a well so we always had a ton of extra water because the well is off if the power goes off. We also buy ice and have a lot of those insulated foam like boxes that you might get from a home delivery beef place. We can then replicate our fridge for days using those...if the power is off.
  3. Bubbler86
    Not a quick fix but Generac House models are the bomb if you have a house though the making ends meet part probably precludes that. I know being in any kind of hospitality sucks right now. Sorry man.
  4. Bubbler86
    That would be interesting to see that if someone has it or finds it. Many where i live say they live in the LSV though technically we are about 20 miles southwest of the river basin line.
  5. Bubbler86
    LSV question...are folks really strict in what qualifies as the LSV? Its officially a river basin but a lot of people consider the LSV to be a more of a region and to that point the NWS used to consider the LSV to be All of Adams, Berks, Cumberland, Dauphin, Franklin, Lancaster, Lebanon, Perry and York Counties. Do not have a contact there anymore so not sure if that still stands. River basin wise it is a portion of all those counties plus small portions of Chester and Schuylkill.
  6. Bubbler86
    That would be unfortunate. I know unique and dramatic weather is fun but being out of power for a week is not.
  7. Bubbler86
    Ha.
  8. Bubbler86
    Blizz, I saw your "crazy face" emoticon. Here is the 6Z GFS panel showing rain with a storm sweeping under us coming out of the Lwr Miss Valley. Disappointing that depiction would not at least dump on us at the start but the system from today is not pushing the boundary back like we had hoped.
  9. Bubbler86
    6z GFS has a Chattanooga Choo Choo on Tuesday and lsv rains. Ugh.
  10. Bubbler86
    PSU just had a few longer posts on the MA LR thread and has shut it down for 50 min now. He must not have read the room right.
  11. Bubbler86
    LOL, I am leaving my desk at 1:00 myself. I did my PBP/BBB for the week.
  12. Bubbler86
    It's still snowing here but not really accumulating anymore.
  13. Bubbler86
    LOL. Its to make up for all the lack of rain this summer ;-)
  14. Bubbler86
    It has been snowing here for 15 min. Models that suggested snow in S Central PA win for today. Fresh coating on non road surfaces.
  15. Bubbler86
    And to my point earlier today, I do not want artic air either both for snow chances and it can be harmful to people and animals outside. I understand others may want it and that is cool. But my point was more on the total failure of the model suites in this arena. Rain/snow amounts vary run to run but the pattern recognition failure from a few days ago is a "all hands on deck" failure, IMO. Do people even trade futures on items that weather affects anymore? How can they do it? Maybe they ignore models.
  16. Bubbler86
    You are right they did not. We did here several times but I never checked MDT. There were many nights in the teens but never below 10 during Dec 2019-Feb 2020. So maybe its not all that rare.
  17. Bubbler86
    Yep, you are right. Dec had some warm days with Christmas Eve at 66 but its been fairly moderate. Not much in the way of extremes. I was just thinking of the lack of arctic air based off the models losing that for us next week.
  18. Bubbler86
    I do not keep records like some on here but I if it does not get down below 10 in the next two weeks (at MDT) that will probably be a rare winter where it does not at least break that plateau once. I know it does not get below zero every winter but not going below 10 is surprising. For the this Met winter MDT has only gone below 20 twice which seems quite low.
  19. Bubbler86
    I think the biggest upheaval of what we see today vs. last week at this time is the lack of real arctic air getting into our region. There was talk of below zero nights just a few days ago but a run through the 2M Temps of the 6Z GFS shows only one night below 10 (LSV) for the rest of the month. This has not been a warm winter by any means but it has certainly not been cold either.
  20. Bubbler86
    I wish more models would take the parade route out of West Virginia, Ohio and Kentucky.
  21. Bubbler86
    And some innocently post the wrong map because the web site or browser did not update as they thought. It happens in the MA forum every day I think. LOL
  22. Bubbler86
    Funny thing is that except for a few off runs, the last few weeks NAM qpf maps have been underwhelming compared to the Canadians and the Euro. May be a pattern thing. The Icon has been qpf heavy at times as well.
  23. Bubbler86
    Yea, the question of snow days is in question for the future but I think there is just a likely chance schools go right back to be mostly in room based and snow days may become a thing again in the future. There is a large contingent of people who think remote learning is not working. I have no opinion on that but it is pertinent in my opinion that remote learning may not be permanent.
  24. Bubbler86
    And the kid in us (for me at least) associates the crippling storm with a snow day :-).
  25. Bubbler86
    Boy, try forecasting off the 12Z (Re: Nooners per Nut) Euro. What a convoluted mess. It's like there is a door opening and closing with gulf moisture straming northward every few days.
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