Cornsnow
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That's not good right? If it's in Asheville it does not bode well for other areas, correct?
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Pretty sure this was always the case. Very dry air at the NC/SC state line that will take a while to saturate. I still believe like always the battle line will be I-85 give or take 10 miles either way.
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Regardless that amount of sleet and ZR would worry me. If it busts just slightly with the ZR to rain ratio it would be some nice power outages there.
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I think they are banking on the warm nose not being as strong. Others are saying it will be and cut into totals big time. Who knows maybe we get lucky up that way. I tend to think it will be somewhere in between with snow and then sleet/zr.
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Having lived through a terrible ice storm in 2004 just below Columbia, SC and seeing and hearing the popping sounds of acres of Pines being destroyed I would rather have cold rain than ice. Not to mention how long we were without power. No thanks.
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Devastating if that verifies.
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Not sure, that's why I posed the question.
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When do we start using much shorter range models like the HRRR, RAP and others? I thought lots of models like the NAM, GFS, Euro are not as accurate when you are literally inside 12 hours or less from go time?
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Southern boy born and raised and not a young one at that now that I am older. I've been burned plenty by the warm nose and severely disappointed. It is just not really a way to go through life. It's miserable and has to suck. As much as people say that is only how they react to snow I am sure there is at least a small reflection of how that corresponds to how they are in daily life. That's all I am saying .
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Still not completely over. We really do not know what the complete outcome will be. Sure if you are further south on the normal battleground it could be worse but there is no guarantee. We still need to see how it plays out. I would not be surprised either way at this point.
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I just do not get all the negativity. Sure it may or may not snow/sleet/ice or whatever but some people get so happy when the negative forecasts verify or start coming in. That's when their post counts start going up and and they seem to become giddy. I would hate to to through life that way. It must be down right miserable.
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Is this really any different than any other storm. We really do not know. It is rinse and repeat. Eroding CAD, rain/snow/sleet/ice line setting up somewhere along the 85 corridor. Climatology always wins here except for every once a decade it seems. It all depends on the track of the low and strength of the CAD and we really do not know how it sets up until go time!
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I am in Mooresville as well. I feel like we have a better shot but you never really know. We could all get a nice cold rain.
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Look at that gradient/cutoff around the 85 corridor!
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To be expected with this type of setup. Classic southern snowstorm with the battle lines drawn 15-30 miles on either side of I85.
