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High pressure to the North on many models this Summer into the Fall can help guide hurricanes to landfall in the SE this summer/fall on a higher probability scale.

Summer rainfall above average possibly.

Looks like the WPC 7 day rather closely. Areas West of the Bay are the winners. Recently it seems the jackpot rainfall areas are moved around with every system.

Got lucky here the last two hours with .23 inches of rain. Nice and steady rainfall, good for the garden and flowers. Next real chance of rain not until next Tuesday night.

Mount Holly's rainfall forecasts have been very dissappointing during the last several systems in this area. Systems pull NE, or phase down when nearing the area, and its not just the local area, seems like a large portion of Delaware. We all know the drought issues in the far Western areas. soil moisture levels not that great here presently. WPC has lowered next week's rainfall totals in our area. Interesting, the EPS has above normal rainfall anomalies in the Mod Atlantic leading into the Memorial Day weekend.

Some sort of system off of the Southeast coast early next week. Have to see how far north it comes.

Per X New ECMWF guidance shows near or slightly above average sea temperatures in the main development region for hurricanes this coming season. Well above average temperatures are forecast in the Gulf and western Atlantic, which can enhance activity close to land.

That coincides with a push of tropical air and higher dew points.

Mount Holly seems bullish on rainfall here Thursday late day and night. ( .25 to .50 inches 0 We shall see. Good luck out there.

This is looking to verifiy as the AO is dropping. Saturday looks amazing !!! A high of 71, low dew points with continued nice weather into early next week. Signs are indicating a more humid air mass moving into the Mid-Atlantic region by mid May.

Thursday night looks decent. .25 to .50 inches of rain possible.

No signs of 90 degree temps on the horizin. Actually, nice cooler weather coming at the end of this week for a couple of days. Temperatures will be much below normal Friday when highs will only top out in the low/mid 60s for most spots. These temps will be around 10 degrees below normal for early May. Lows Fri night will favor the low 40s up north and mid 40s elsewhere. Temperatures will moderate back to normal Saturday and then rise above normal for Sunday.

some storms nearing you from the SE

.30 inches of rain here from that one cell this morning. Amazing cut off to the East and the SE. Odessa bascially zip. Radar looks good for continous rainfall in this area and the Eastern Shore soon. After this cycle of rain is over by this Wednesday it looks to get dry again. Very happy for the Western areas yesterday. Those were some amazing storms.

Storms on upper Eastern shore moving this way. Meanwhile, the Philly Broad Street run starts soon.

Lower Delaware and Southern, NJ with South winds above 20 mph. meanwhile my area and nearby locations with firm SW winds. Interesting.

Short range models are not that enthused for tonight around here from local sources, yet I see storms firing NE of me near Wilmington and Woodbury, NJ. The Delaware rain forcefield is in full effect below the C&D Canal.

NWS just issue a watch here. Very dark clouds to my North. Have to keep a close eye on the radar next several hours.

Very impressive cell. Have not seen 80dbz color signature in a while.

Euro not good at times. I have not looked at the latest run. Meanwhil,e the WPC has trimmed back rainfall totals even more in its latest update, especially the Tidewater region. when you look at your local forecast and see odds of rain at 70 % equaling a tenth of an inch, pretty sad.

For today most of the action is West of us. WPC rainfall for Day one

Highest rainfall totals have shifted well North of the area into NE PA. and Eastern New York state. Of course things could change locally with heavier storms. Feels like a summer morning out there already with temp of 72 and DP of 64

Yep, you are correct. Looking at the radar frame by frame the main cell has now weakened, and another much weaker cell has formed East of the Proving Grounds over the water.

Watching the radar thought the movement would bend more East with time, but it is continuing to move NE. Some sort of boundary ? Thought it might clip me. but not looking good.

Watch out boaters in the upper Bay Special Marine Warning ANZ530-531-022300- /O.NEW.KLWX.MA.W.0044.250502T2137Z-250502T2300Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Special Marine Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 537 PM EDT Fri May 2 2025 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Special Marine Warning for... Chesapeake Bay from Pooles Island to Sandy Point MD... Chesapeake Bay north of Pooles Island MD... * Until 700 PM EDT. * At 536 PM EDT, strong thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near Middle River to Back River, moving east at 15 knots. HAZARD...Wind gusts 34 knots or greater. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Boaters in small craft could be thrown overboard by suddenly higher winds and waves capsizing their vessel. * Locations impacted include... Turkey Point, Hart Miller Island, Gunpowder River, Northeast River, Worton Point, Pooles Island, Spesutie Island, Aberdeen Proving Ground, and Havre De Grace. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Move to safe harbor until hazardous weather passes