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Ryan Maue @RyanWeather · 18h Watching with some concern about the "mother of all heat domes" across the Western U.S. in 10-12 days ... triggered by Super Typhoon Bavi. This would be unprecedented ridge strength at 6045 meters (500 mb height) Nobody has seen this before Ryan Maue @RyanWeather · 3h "Mega Typhoon Bavi" Super Typhoon Bavi has an opportunity in the coming 4-5 days to set the "world record" for the most intense tropical cyclone observed, since Tip in 1979. ECMWF HRES (00z) at 872 mb --> upper echelon of Earth's maximum potential intensity.

Extreme Heat Warning until July 4, 08:00 PM EDT Current conditions at Wilmington Airport (KILG) Lat: 39.67°NLon: 75.61°WElev: 72ft. A Few Clouds 102°F 39°C Humidity 40% Wind Speed NW 10 G 17 mph Barometer 29.99 in (1015.4 mb) Dewpoint 73°F (23°C) Visibility 10.00 mi Heat Index 114°F (46°C) Last update 3 Jul 1:51 pm EDT

Pretty sad that areas in lower Delaware which are so dry miss out on the heaviest rainfall potential according to this WPC forecast map.

https://x.com/ryankanerWX/status/2073032905203253524 @ryankanerWX RRFS says we break through the capping & storms break out, especially across southern PA & northern MD. HRRR says we stay capped. Good test for the RRFS which will be the new main mesoscale model beginning on the last day of August (replacing the NAM). #MdWx

https://x.com/TylerSebreezy/status/2073064609636880472 @TylerSebreezy Here's the latest NSSL machine-learning severe probabilities for the next 2 weeks. Definitely showing some high numbers over the next few days as the "heat dome" pattern supplies ample heat, moisture and instability.

Some clouds showing up and temps still rising Current conditions at Wilmington Airport (KILG) Lat: 39.67°NLon: 75.61°WElev: 72ft. Fair 99°F 37°C Humidity 46% Wind Speed N 5 mph Barometer 30.03 in (1016.6 mb) Dewpoint 75°F (24°C) Visibility 10.00 mi Heat Index 112°F (44°C) Last update 3 Jul 11:51 am EDT

Ok, I had enough of this. 97 at 11 AM Current conditions at Wilmington Airport (KILG) Lat: 39.67°NLon: 75.61°WElev: 72ft. Fair 97°F 36°C Humidity 49% Wind Speed NA Barometer 30.02 in (1016.5 mb) Dewpoint 75°F (24°C) Visibility 10.00 mi Heat Index 109°F (43°C) Last update 3 Jul 10:51 am EDT

NWS Mount Holly @NWS_MountHolly · 1h 103° has tied the highest temp ever recorded at WFO Mount Holly, going back to 1993. The previous highest temp at our office was 103° back on July 7, 2010.

Mount Holly has increased the rainfall probabilities for Saturday eve/night. SPC has highlighted much of our area in a Slight Risk (level 2 out of 5) for severe thunderstorms both Friday and Saturday. As indicated by the PoP forecast above, coverage of storms is anticipated to be relatively low on Friday, mainly isolated to scattered in nature at best. Coverage and organization of storms should be a bit greater on Saturday though. Damaging winds will be the main threat with any thunderstorm development. On Sunday, the severe weather threat may begin to become confined mainly to Delmarva where destabilization is greatest ahead of an approaching cold front. With that being said, the entire area could see showers and a few storms. SPC has highlighted this area with a day 4 15% severe risk.

Yep, still going up. ( but dew point dropping ) Current conditions at Wilmington Airport (KILG) Lat: 39.67°NLon: 75.61°WElev: 72ft. Fair 103°F 39°C Humidity 35% Wind Speed SW 10 mph Barometer 30.01 in (1015.9 mb) Dewpoint 70°F (21°C) Visibility 10.00 mi Heat Index 112°F (44°C) Last update 2 Jul 2:51 pm EDT

WPC ramping up the totals

Still going up 102 Extreme Heat Warning until July 4, 08:00 PM EDT Current conditions at Wilmington Airport (KILG) Lat: 39.67°NLon: 75.61°WElev: 72ft. Fair 102°F 39°C Humidity 38% Wind Speed W 10 mph Barometer 30.02 in (1016.5 mb) Dewpoint 72°F (22°C) Visibility 10.00 mi Heat Index 112°F (44°C) Last update 2 Jul 1:51 pm EDT

Heat indexes above 110 are nuts. Currently 113 heat index here, ranging from 112 to 115 last hour.

Beat that Extreme Heat Warning until July 4, 08:00 PM EDT Current conditions at Wilmington Airport (KILG) Lat: 39.67°NLon: 75.61°WElev: 72ft. A Few Clouds 101°F 38°C Humidity 42% Wind Speed NA Barometer 30.02 in (1016.5 mb) Dewpoint 74°F (23°C) Visibility 10.00 mi Heat Index 113°F (45°C) Last update 2 Jul 12:51 pm EDT

Com @commoditywx https://x.com/commoditywx/status/2072374917027205215 Analogs to current modeling favor northern to upper Western heat focus with wetter risks south to east: very El Niño.

Should break 100 F in the next hour or two

Yep.. a oven NWS Mount Holly @NWS_MountHolly · 37m As of 11 AM Wilmington Airport remains in the lead with an air temperature of 98, dew point of 77, and heat index of 114.

Holly shit, 98 degrees F. Heat index 114 before noon Extreme Heat Warning until July 4, 08:00 PM EDT Current conditions at Wilmington Airport (KILG) Lat: 39.67°NLon: 75.61°WElev: 72ft. Fair 98°F 37°C Humidity 51% Wind Speed Vrbl 6 mph Barometer 30.04 in (1017.0 mb) Dewpoint 77°F (25°C) Visibility 10.00 mi Heat Index 114°F (46°C) Last update 2 Jul 10:51 am EDT

Extreme heat events such as this one, with tropical moisture, have a decent potential of ending with a bang.

Damn, already blew past the predicted heat index. Current conditions at Wilmington Airport (KILG) Lat: 39.67°NLon: 75.61°WElev: 72ft. Fair 95°F 35°C Humidity 54% Wind Speed S 7 mph Barometer 30.01 in (1016.1 mb) Dewpoint 76°F (24°C) Visibility 10.00 mi Heat Index 108°F (42°C) Last update 1 Jul 1:51 pm EDT

Mount Holly has removed all mentions of storms here on the 4 th , previously was up to 30 % probs. Tonight A slight chance of showers after 3am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 69. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Wednesday Mostly sunny, with a high near 96. Heat index values as high as 102. Southwest wind around 10 mph. Wednesday Night A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly clear, with a low around 74. South wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Thursday Sunny and hot, with a high near 99. Heat index values as high as 105. West wind 5 to 10 mph. Thursday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 78. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Friday Sunny and hot, with a high near 102. Friday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 77. Independence Day Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 99. Saturday Night A chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Sunday A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 93. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Sunday Night Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Monday A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 87. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Monday Night A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Tuesday A chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 87. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Seems for my location Ninas have delivered the goods ( cold and snow ) the last 6 years versus Ninos which were either not coupled, not focused or just wishy washy, and whatever Tip said in the NE forum.

Blah.......ring of nothing

OMG please, please, please....... The surf at most locations is a freakin lake..... wave energy like 20 to 29 ..... boring........