frd

Long range weather projects is a huge market for many public and private companies. I read a report on the Wall Street Journal it is a growing field. Short term but, longterm outlooks guide decisions about inventory, commodities, the futures markets, what to makwe on the assembly lines and beyond that retailers, and what to focus on and how much, beyond that even more such as chemicals and other compunds. Knowing ahead in weather is a big market.

Ray, does the large area of subsurface warmth increase the possibility this could go to a moderate level , or is that simply wishcasting?

Interesting from my days back at Eastern Weather and before then Wright Weather, ( ages ago ) KA was on a roll for a few years . DT brought him more so into the public eye I think. Doesn't KA use observed weather events up to this point in the DC area for his foirecasts ? I thought KA did not use analogs?? Regardless , I think it is really hard to make a forecast this early. Seems he and Weather 53 are at odds with temps. As for Weather 53's analog set I have not heard those years yet being thrown out by many. I think this year with a gun held to my head there is no middle ground , I think it is either going to be cold and snowy or warm and wet , or even the potential for warm and dry despite the El Nino. These days seems the weather wants to go one way or another.

So you are saying a warm, non eventful winter? Wonder why some seasonal models were depicting blocking on latest runs ?

I have a question in the lawn thread second one to the bottom, can you check it out and tell me what you think please > It's about grass and watering , Thanks !

Very nice, I like ! !

It does stink when you are a gardener .

Seems that a weak El Nino, or at least warm neutral should be possible. The Alantic should cooperate.