frd

You are correct, there was a rather dramatic decrease in areal QPF in the latest WPC discussion and forecast. Not often do you see such a reduction close to real time from them. What was consistent for over 8 cycles, 4 days, has shifted the heaviest rainfall well South of us , coinciding with the higher severe risk. I am still expecting a decent rainfall event but not epic.

Not nearly as bad up here above the canal, but that was a wicked cells/line from 2:45 AM to about 3:16 AM. We were in a warned area at that time from Mount Holly. Almost like a mini derecho. Continuous heavy rain, blinding sheets and constant high wind and then gusts, maybe up to 55 to 60 . The only missing element were winds higher to say 70 or more. Thought there would be many downed tree but got very, very lucky. Only broken limbs.

Yoda, what are your feelings for the Delaware area with storms later today. Thanks. I do see a hazard mention up for the upper Bay to my West.

Yeah. Your area did better than many. Seems even in March the seasonal trends continue : From Mount Holly for later in the week : Will say that there do seem to be some similarities to the pattern we saw for much of February with troughing in the West and ridging in the East, but also cold air and high pressure not far north over eastern Canada. So an early hypothesis on the end of the week would feature something we`ve seen several times this winter: a leading wave sliding over or south of the region around Friday, with a larger storm behind it tracking to our west through the Great Lakes.

Never feel bad for Boston. They get from one storm, what I typically get in a season. 2 decent storms for them equals a good winter here. I get it, they have an awesome location and snow climo. I am bitter. I will enjoy the three upcoming days of highs at or below freezing on my barren ground as Boston locks into a deep winter period.

I thought the lattitude here would help me to a degree even the the elevation is 72 feet LOL I knew there were going to be issues when I checked the obs last night and saw folk West of me at rather high elevations reporting rain. I knew at that time Pamela Anderson was visiting again. I had to text my daughter at UD in Delaware and tell here classes as planned. showme was right the mids sucked. AND ...... 64 pages for freakin rain. Time for the warm weather.

I can report a small area of snow under the wiper blade. I honestly thought, as late as 6 PM last night, Northern Delaware schools would be getting at the least a 2 hour delay. Surprisgly they closed last Friday from Thursday's night storm which was only around 3 inches maybe 4 in certain spots. Thr trend this year has also been warm wet and we hardly ever get snow on the ground with an incoming cold air mass. How freak'in boring. Like to go back to the 1960's winters or lore.

Had a winter storm warning here for 3 to 5 inches, more forecasted just to my North ( up to 8 inches ) Currently at my location heavy rain and nothing on the ground, what a bust. A huge bust at that ! And a bust of forecast for just 6 hours ahead. Incredible dissapointment for a lot of the kids in my area hoping for either a 2 hour delay or even a possible cyber day.

All rain here the last 4 hours after decent snow between4 to 5 PM. ( grass and cars covered atrthat time ) Winter storm warning for up to 4 inches here but lucky to get 6 millimeters the way things look now. Snow Life sucks in the Northern Mid Atlantic .....

As HM had posted, if we had better spacing we could be facing a MECS. ( or as he said a HA event ) Due to the change in the NAO phase. Whether indeed the final outcome would be all snow or not, who knows. But, currently the trend is very favorable for March 3rd and 4 th. Seems that cold air really wants to move South.

Heather

Snow coming to an abrupt end here. Came down hard the last three hours but the back edge moved in quickly. 2.5 inches and that is decent for it starting at 9:30 AM. Might have to shovel, and clear the cars. 28 degrees. Roads pretty nasty. Brine did little good here.

Moderate snow here, a coating, but picking up. Secondary roads snow covered. Heavier bands to my West.

Snow just started in Middletown, DE., I am a few miles from the C and D canal, close to the MD state line.

Just got back from taking a walk with the dog in this wonderful weather, love it ! Measured about 3.25 inches here so far with very light snow still falling.

Some AFDs were as of a few days ago calling this storm and the predicted snowfall to be a generational snow event. I imagine in some areas it truly is. Add the time of year, and it is an epic.

Mentioned this earlier about the role of the PV. Looking at this view you can certainly see how it crushes the storm from making a significant move North.

Busy at work just checking in, I thought the Euro was going move North. Still seems firm in a Southern solution but what got my attention is something I hardly see mentioned , at least in this case as to why the storm is staying South. I mean I heard the about the NS vorts, the confluence, high pressure and the western ridge too but then I came across some sort of involvement with the SPV . HM was mentioning the " The trough down 60W is part of the full vortex and all of its associated cyclones in the troposphere." Seems that when you look at the SPV in 3D you can see this better. This is the first time I read about this and the 3D look at the vortex really adds a nice visual depicting how it can be formed in odd shapes and changes in height, for example it can be whole at the upper levels and split like a pair of pants at the bottom. You can see it better below in the animations or visit the thread as I don't want to post too many of these. There is involvement here with the pattern and the storm and this is acting a untraditional block I think I guess this sums it up here from HM , " Looking at the big picture, this isn't the most ideal way to slow down the "50-50 low" and suppress a coastal storm (North Atlantic blocking is the best recipe for that). However, you can visualize how this full structure would help to slow down the tropospheric-portion somewhat"

Not good news . Might need to do sod now under the trees , or my wife will kill me .

What, if any consequences does this have for high lattitide blocking in October and even beyond, in and around this region ? Also, recently looking at the SST changes in the Gulf Of Alaska they are rising . Would any of this warmth cause and or re-inforce a + PDO in developing in the month(s) ahead.

I have a question in the lawn thread second one to the bottom, can you check it out and tell me what you think please > It's about grass and watering , Thanks !

Very nice, I like ! !

It does stink when you are a gardener .