frd

Sure like the distribution of snowfall, maybe might even be able to add another inch , at this point I like the consistency of the NAM and the Euro. remember the old EE rule, back in the day ?

Jumbo Shrimp Scampi ? Hot Pasta Fagioli ? ( al dente of course ) Braised short rib ? mmmmmm....... Hot off the grill Rueben ? Love em !! Eh, I give up, I am going to get a snack ! Come on Roger bring on a bad boy for us !

Yeah, true. It can stay like that for my taste. Perfect for MBY Congrats to the NAM twins ( if correct ) I liked that GEFS snowfall map you posted in the long range thread, very weenie !

Heard via 33andrain the 18z Euro for tomorrow night has 2 to 4 inches for the Mason Dixon line

You know, despite the weak Nino I can almost see a cool summer this year. Even though I feel the Atlantic SSTs are going to warm up to above normal over a vast area of the Atlantic I would not be surprised to see a nice summer. Now watch it be top ten hottest .

YES HAZEL over and over !!

You sure you don't mean Kill Bill Volume I

I think I am ready for warm and nice weather, this winter has left an emotional scar on me. Seems we lost the blocking on top prior to the Moday rain, and then after that too much PV, whatever, why would we expect in March of all months for things to suddenly improve. If we had a moderate Nino, and a better PDO I bet we would have had a great March. And yeah, I write this like March is over. But after a winter like this , its tough to be positive anymore. I mean I am below climo but I did gewt some snow.

The Euro is far from decided. Rain is modeled but it is not the same Euro to me anymore. Very shaky at times.

Wow ! the area is so tiny, that's like being in Vegas right there. Still a lot of time to go in relationship to the small area that will be effected.

I can relate to this as well for MBY. It is amazing repetition this winter with the gradient location and yeah I guess its a fluke thing , but still annoying amongst other things this winter season. Maybe we can buy 50 miles in 36 hours. But like you said, this is a tiny feature, so good luck to the models.

You will not like the GFS, I sure don't. I am going with the NAMs I hope they have a better handle than the goofy GFS

Both NAMs , I like !! The winter of dissapointment still likes to deliver to the DC area.

The seasonal trend of squashed/surpressed or cutter mostly continues. When I read about the record speed of the PAC jet this winter ( 2 or 3 record events since October ) in a West to East projectory, well I can't help but to think without a block or something to buckle or slow the jet it will be impossible for certain shortwaves to survive, let alone amplify. (issues no blocking ie. -NAO or failed attempts at a +PNA on at least 12 occassions ) I wonder if this winter this was an issue or bias in all the modeling for some reason with the models. I say that because on countless occassions storms went poof. cutters moved SE, maybe the models underestimate certain factors. Who knows what they are? Storms progged to be huge went weakish, in the medium range, Happens over and over. A trait of the winter so far, same as the issues that give us Nina ish conditions at times. I mean it interesting to ponder what the heck is going on, but all I want is some SNOW !!!!!

So tempting it is, this game we play. DT could not control himself, his desire for snow was too much, and secretly his hidden desire to post the Snow Dog . I can't blame him.

Even for the Northern crew (NYC) it sucks. I think we lost the good vibes today. Normally once a downturn like this happens it does not turn around fast, or in our favor. But hey, just say'in. Very complex, be a fool to say this is how it will play out. so we keep watch'in.

Is that two in a row where the CMC sniffed it out first. ( an no.....not Elmers )

Basically needs to trend wetter and colder. There is time. huge snowfall gradient going North to South more devastating as you go East , as in central Delaware hello 1 inch Dover , Cape May NJ. zip and Baltimore 4 inches , damn cold afterwards.

Maybe there will be greater space inbetween Monday and Wednesday/ Thursday SWs. Lets see what the Euro shows shortly.

Seems based on the GEM, GFS and Euro March 7 and 8 th has real potential. The Euro control storm progression makes a lot of sense based on the pattern upcoming, whether that is the final outcome who knows, and I am just not saying that because it has significant snow.

Well showme, I know your a Vegas Man, so all we can say is, we are in the game !

Exactly like you said showme, with the changes today, I wonder if we see the trend towards a deep Eastern cyclone at a lower lattitude over the next 72 hours. Very uncomfortable with any guesses. I think most forecasters are going to wait the way this winter has been. I mean the huge mean up North could shift down over us in the next few days. I think it is a foot up there. Seems like a possible +PNA spike. So many moving parts but at least it is not far away in time.

Yeah, very true M, she is annoying. What you said is spot on ! Always spouts negative remarks without value on most weather feeds. There was a reason to my pasting blast. psu knows her well. LOL

and from Paul ew conversation Paul Roundy‏ @PaulRoundy1 1h1 hour ago More Replying to @PaulRoundy1 @antmasiello @BeccaLynch4 Models include such patterns in individual ensemble members but it's quite different from the ensemble mean, and there are several pathways to different outcomes accessible.

Wait, here is the HM deal......