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Wonder if any areas hit records for record low max today? Was 53 degrees, has dropped here to 49 F. with winds gusting past 30 mph. A winterlike day indeed.

@bluewave do you have any idea or have seen any research that you can recall at which point does the above normal SW Atlantic SSTs begin to influence the general pattern near the SE and the MidAtlantic ? Leading to more consistent warmer weather and even over-whelming the pattern as it manifests to a powerful WAR supported in part, by the wamer waters which seem to be increasing. Thanks

You think the Euro has the right idea, with the trend and tendency for the very deep - AO and -NAO even out in the future. I tend to put more weight in the Euro's outcomes most times, but not so sure this time.

Seems we are coupled now with the Nino. And yes, this weather is horrific for moms out there. Windy and rainy, a far cry from other Mays with higher in the upper 80's. SOI hern Oscillation Index values SOI values for 12 May, 2019 Average SOI for last 30 days -6.81 Average SOI for last 90 days -7.87 Daily contribution to SOI calculation -21.74

Can I request a Starbucks inside . A hot coffee will ease my despair.

Simply incredible. I believe a tornado was associated with this severe storm. The detail is breathtaking

Look for the El Nino to rejuvenate: SOI Dashboard Latest Southern Oscillation Index values SOI values for 11 May, 2019 Average SOI for last 30 days -6.88 Average SOI for last 90 days -7.84 Daily contribution to SOI calculation -22.50 Monthly average SOI values Feb -14.62 Mar -6.48 Apr -2.43 Note: The SOI values are expressed as an index (i.e. no units) and are derived from the 1887–1989 base period. This information is updated daily. The new data are typically available by 7:00pm (AEST).

Good call Ventrice .... I mean it has to happen as forecasted, but it appears primed to go back down even further

I believe at this rate it will snow here ............incredible, further down to extreme levels Damn !!!!! Without question May has has to average normal, maybe even below. The only issue is a snap back to very warm at the end of the month, but not sure.

If you build it they will come -prepare now.

Line forming and moving East now https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar_lite.php?rid=lwx&product=NCR&loop=yes

Sure seems that way. That is why next winter I will believe it ( HL blocking ) when I see it. I put little faith in any seasonal calls by anyone, or any model. Too much chaos and maybe the way things roll now with warming, well maybe analogs will be going the way of the Paleo diet. Get it ? Paleo=caveman=extinct ...... This pattern give or take a little imagination I think would have provided an historic series of winter storms in ther Mid Atlantic. Can't be positive, but wow to the depth and the longevity of the deep -AO and the -NAO. Someone pointed out to me this May's -NAO, targeting the present NW Atlantic SST configuration, cold pool, etc., may be a signal for next winter's NAO to be negative.

Yep

Much appreciated, thanks !

Does anyone know if Mount Holly weather service web site is down ? I can not access either on my laptop or my Droid. Very slow this AM and now nothing. I should add that at times it works but other times I get a time out on my browser. Now seconds ago, it seems back up, strange.

Follow up to yesterday with a focus on the West Pac

Showers developing right along the MD and DE lines South and North of the Canal near Middletown. Meanwhile latest WPC went higher with QFP and this just nuts !

Did you get your mosquitto spraying done ?

Not sure the scope, but as JB mentions the SW Pac SST profile has changed

Actually the first May in a long, long time where crops and ag have too much wettness possibly. I have seem incredible wet June periods and recent years with very wet July and August months, but this year we are starting early. Will be mosquitto and mold city out there. Ugh.

Wow, SOI back down SOI Dashboard Latest Southern Oscillation Index values SOI values for 8 May, 2019 Average SOI for last 30 days -5.75 Average SOI for last 90 days -7.69 Daily contribution to SOI calculation -14.92 Monthly average SOI values Feb -14.62 Mar -6.48 Apr -2.43 Note: The SOI values are expressed as an index (i.e. no units) and are derived from the 1887–1989 base period. This information is updated daily. The new data are typically available by 7:00pm (AEST). Recent (preliminary) Southern Oscillation Index values 30 day Av. SOI 90 day Av. SOI Daily contribution Date Tahiti (hPa) Darwin (hPa) Daily Contribution 30 day Av. SOI 90 day Av. SOI 8 May 2019 1010.13 1010.55 -14.92 -5.75 -7.69 7 May 2019 1010.34 1010.60 -13.69 -4.44 -7.61 6 May 2019 1011.67 1010.80 -5.04 -3.60 -7.44 5 May 2019 1012.81 1011.25 0.25 -2.97 -7.38

Temps are nice, but the cloud cover is a bit depressing. Seems a lot of cloudy days the last month. Was going to plant on the garden, but will wait yet another day. Very wet soil still despite the warmth of yesterday.

I read we are nowhere near the low point of the still progressing solar minimum.

@psuhoffman funny right Old post from Judah, but things are still progressing. The AO and the NAO are really tanked and forecasted to stay that way. Have not seen values like this for a LONG time.

No doubt an outcome of the prolonged and very negative AO , combined with the -NAO and a neutral to somewhat positive PNA. If this were winter I assume we be cold and possible snowy. @bluewave are you surprised by the -AO and the -NAO ? Seems there was coupling with the last warming. I read from Judah Cohen, do you concur ?