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This could be in the long-term, but decided to drop it here - Basically the same blocking giving us the cooler weather, if it persists could aid in very warm weather later in the summer, which fits into the forecast of many, plus the recent decadal warmth along the Eastern coastline via the very warm SSTs partly from the robust WAR. ( feedback at work ) . From Don S : Today, the preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) figure was -0.874. The blocking will likely continue through mid-month and then could slowly fade. At the same time, blocking is consistent with warmth on the East Coast during the middle and latter part of summer. Hence, should blocking generally persist, the prospects of a warm or perhaps very warm second half of summer could increase.

@bluewave what do you feel brought upon this magical return of the Davis Straits block and huge - NAO. Do you feel it is the warm seasoning blocking due to the interaction between the solar / reduced surface ice and SST configuration ( ie. the cold pool ) now taking place in the NW Atlantic?

Huge down pour at 5:45 AM this morning from heavy cell moving NNW from Doverand points SE. I am very lucky, I don't see wipespread rains, however, right now an area seems to be moving North up the Eastern shore I look forward to seeing your layout I have made myself little straw free pathways between rows of plants, ie. narrow that I can simply rake every day to keep free. I tend to have less straw right up against the plants to help preent slugs (just a theory ) and than deeper farther away to keep the weeds down.

This is really cool !

Go ahead bit your nails ........

Not to be selfish but on this side I hope to get more, but like you said earlier, with the wind today my garden looked like the dust bowl era . Have to say I love your suggestion you gave me a month ago about using the straw for the tomatoes and other plants. I noticed there was indeed more moisture around those plants that had a covering of straw. Now, if it also stops the tomato fungus /blight,whatever you call, it I will be dancing in the streets.

I see a lot of good advice has been given, but one last thing I have used and I really feel it helped my fescue seed germinate and do better it a product that holds water and eventually breaks down adding a tiny amount of nitrogen to your lawn. I like it better than straw. It is typically sold at Lowes and Home Depot, see below 10 lb. Fairway Formula Seed Success Biodegradable Mulch with Fertilizer Overview This product is a combination starter fertilizer and seeding mulch that helps maintain moisture in the planted area so seeds germinate successfully. The paper mulch is completely biodegradable. It is combined with fertilizer, a wetting agent and special tackifier that helps keep mulch in place to protect the seed while it germinates - even on rainy, windy days or when seeding a sloped area. Grass seed is not included - you choose the grass seed of your choice. .

I know @Eskimo Joe spoke about the -NAO but of you were to believe the progs and the EPS, we may have a very significant -NAO event this coming week and it may last. The EPS is nuts in it's projection for this upcoming week's event. As I mentioned yesterday, June may outdo even the record -NAO of May 2019. The implications may carry over for the entire month of June making it end up normal to below normal. No extreme heat of the horizon for a long time. If any one were to be able to forecast the NAO correctly and apply it to the commodities market and long range forecasts that person would be very famous indeed. Imagine the possibilities for it's use.

I too watered the garden yesterday, was pretty dry with the strong sun and breeze. Mount Holly seems to think the most robust rainfall is early in the week and they mentioned the Thursday deal has a lot of uncertainty. They said the low that was to effect out region as the dominant low is now forecasted to be washed out/absorbed into the Great Lakes low, so less rainfall later in the week is a possibility. If you desire rain hope this first round makes it here. The WPC still has us in good shades for significant rainfall but I do have some doubts.

Here she comes

Something to ponder, again take this with a grain of salt, but......

Not sure we are going to lose the -NAO any time soon. June is following where May left off.

That's fine with me because I believe nothing is my new motto. I will not believe or expect anything this winter after the last one. The weather will do as it pleases. But, yes, I can see the NAO being positive for the winter, as it seems the new norm. Why change now. There is some chatter that seems to indicate it is harder to get a -NAO in the winter. But, much easier in the period March to June, or at least is have been the last few years.

The cooler trends continue

That is a good idea. It is normally is recommended to over-seed, and or plant new lawns in the fall when the nights are longer, the sun less strong, there is more frequent dew. The issue is even if your grass germinated there is no assurance it will survive July and August and even Septermber can be brutal too. I recommend you aerate any area you want to over seed in the Fall. If a new lawn follow typical instructions. Good luck !

- SOI for weeks plus warm season blocking, etc and you have this - @showmethesnow so far so good but a ways to go to see what August and September bring temp-wise. I still feel we don't go extreme record breaking heat this summer. Very muggy, yes, super hot for days on end, not buying that. Wonder if any correlation to the solar min and this blocking, or simply the role of warm seasonal forces acting on the polar regions producing this outcome as mentioned previously in this thread. By the way, I feel the EPS is impressive for this time of year. Whether this forecast is correct time will tell, however, the signals do support it though.

@losetoa6 yep, certainly possible and also a deep feed of tropical moisture. Appears afterward we enter a period of nice weather with a general NW flow. Not as cool as the Midwest ( below normal there by 3 to 6 degrees maybe ), but no extreme heat in sight in the East . Also, looks like West Coast high pressure builds later in the 6 to 10 day period, and a rise in the PNA. Meanwhile the Newfoundland cold pool persists and the NAO remains negative.

The Euro supports this, but focused more to our South. WPC seems to echo that idea. GA has been so dry with the extreme heat lately, and after this, so much for a powerful inland heat ridge.

Moderate rain here now, a thread the needle scenario. I will take it ! Normally we miss to the South

and here you go........................ Looks like May to June blocking and less - NAO during the winter ..... I brought up that a few days ago about AGW and this -

Meanwhile the rain that was moving our way today on the radar, has dissapated significantly. While Dewey Beach and Southern most locations are getting strong storms. Need to go water veggies now, boooo !

Big rain potential early next week, surprise , surprise https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/hpcdiscussions.php?disc=pmdepd a lot of this is day 6 and 7 for us

@Eskimo Joe related to the cool AM here .... went to Lowes and bought one single cucumber plant to spread out my harvest. The plant looked good at the store but honestly I just grabbed it and placed it in the car. Got home and looked more closel, the plant was a rich green color and the pot moist, but the leaves were limp, I guess from the cold morning is all I can think. Pretty crazy. I put iut in the sun and now it bounced back finally. Hope your garden is Ok. I have not checked mine yet.

My just brewed hot coffee will not even stay warm outside. I LOVE THIS WEATHER !!!!! Also, I don't see any bugs. Dropped to 47 degrees here as the low last night.

That is an excellent mind set to have !!!! Regardless of what the seasonal models show, either crap or Weenie-ish, I will be thankful to watch another winter season unfold and the glories of mother nature and the fun of the December. the holidays and family.