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Some inland water temps are just nuts Bolded is the recent temp Delaware City DE 83.7 (07/21/2019 18:36 UTC) 81 83 83 80 76 73 67 61 Lewes DE 78.8 (07/21/2019 18:48 UTC) 71 74 76 75 73 70 65 58 Reedy Point DE 86.9 (07/21/2019 18:42 UTC) 80 82 81 80 77 73 67 61 Annapolis MD 76 78 78 77 75 71 66 60 Baltimore MD 84.4 (07/21/2019 18:42 UTC) 77 78 79 79 77 72 66 61 Chesapeake City MD 89.4 (07/21/2019 18:42 UTC) 81 83 83 81 77 73 67 60 Ocean City MD 69.4 (07/21/2019 18:42 UTC) 68 69 71 71 71 69 65 59 Solomons Island MD 86.4 (07/21/2019 18:48 UTC) 79 81 82 84 79 73 66 61 Tolchester Beach MD 87.8 (07/21/2019 18:42 UTC) 79 81 80 79 76 71 66 59 Washington DC 87.4 (07/21/2019 18:42 UTC)

Bath water 86 degrees F. East of NC, wow !

Yep, air quality alert in place , code orange here. Just another element of concern for some folks.

Decent low pressure area for this time of year. Mount Holly already issued a FFW for my area effective July 22 at 10:00 AM. The entire progression suggests big time rainfall potential. Might be able to restore ground soil reserves to get us through the remainder of the month into early August, with a green up.

Watering the flowers and took just 2 minutes to work up a sweat. Dew point 78 here. And whats up with the sky? Seems more haze today or smoke ? GOES show no deep blues like yesterday on the visible

For the beach goers: very warm surf in Wildwood, and Cape May extending South to Dewey and Ocean City, MD. ( I saw some 80 degree surf temps, wow ! ) but as Mount Holly NWS points out, some upwelling further North. << it appears as though there is some upwelling along the New Jersey coast, mainly from Long Beach Island down to the Atlantic City area. Water temperatures right along the shore are in the middle and upper 60s in spots. >>

Yep, certainly a bump up from previous WPC guidance. Day 1 to 3

Is the typcial cycle 12 to 15 months ? If so, no guarantee of a change. Also, we have had favorable QBO phases in the past, and it has not helped that much with blocking overall. Seems to be more at play here. So many factors to consider, and the importance of each in regards to it'd weighting and sensible weather outcome. I rather have a +PDO, favorable PAC , etc.

Posted only for entertainment value. Anything can happen, and I sure do not trust the Euro. Actually, I do not and will not trust any type of winter forecast this year, even those that will come out in December because today we are in a new regime in my opinion, and analogs can not really be used effectively . Also, IMHO things are so dynamic even the best seasoanl models will not be able to generate a seasonal forecast any better than just going with simple climo. Could be super warm winter or a very cold and snowy winter. Only after the fact will we know.

This seems correct based on the present decade and ongoing persistence. Want snow ? - you have to wait till March . However, maybe this October we get another Hazel.

Hmm... Sounds great..... I am almost ready to use Google maps and head on down .....

If I were closer I be there. Looks yummy ! I LOVE crabs !!!

Also, the Pac Jet has set another warm season record. Same thing happened in the Winter and screwed up our cold and storm tracks. It is acting to pump up the WAR , similiar to the winter as well. The Pac Jet also hindered the forecast of Winter West coast ridging, which looked like it would develop on the weeklies/seasonals and then was fractured by the might Pac jet.

If memory serves me correctly I believe @bluewave mentioned the Super Nino being responsible to a degree for this. Many recent dew point records have taken place since the peak of the Super Nino. In addition ( also from a conversation with bluewave ) the robust WAR and warm SW Atlantic SSTs have helped in delivering many records recently across the East , of which, many have been late in the summer and the early Fall. When plottted these records clearly follow the Western flank of the WAR from the SE , Florida up to the Mid Atlantic .

Something going on recently the past 4 years with these extreme dew points and record breaking dew points. Some say the after effects of the Super Nino are responsible, and others speculate about the Atlantic Ocean cycle and the WAR.

Middletown no better, was in the garden and sweating like a pig. 90 degrees here at 10:15 AM. Some unofficial beach surf zone temps reported this AM at between 80 to 82 degrees. Wow !

Delayed re-seeding of the lawn and than BANG the cold came and lost the window. Last Sept and early October sucked ! But as @nw baltimore wx said, the shorter days and earlier sunsets is one offsetting positive of any late season heat.

Do you think we are seeing our hottest temps for the summer now ? ( We are getting this heat right at the climo peak ) Wonder if the highest temps "relative" to normal still occur in September and October this year? Fits the decadal pattern . Warm Atlantic , strong WAR

@bluewaveWas this not part of the reason the winter did not deliver in the East for most. The rather robust jet breaking down West Coast ridging?

That frontal passage will be the only rainfall oppurtunity for the next 7 to 10 days once the drier airmass moves in, so hopefuly we all score.

@C.A.P.E. Some private met service providers going 2 to 5 below average Eastern half of the Country days 6 to 10, that is bullish !

Yesss is right, that airmass change looks great ! Hope you are right regarding the rainfall. Seems we are in line for rainfall as we exit the heat, but the WPC trimmed down a bit on rainfall in our region for later Sunday through Monday night.

.65 here so far with some of the loudest thunder in a couple years. Some booms were similiar to the vibrations from the Proving Grounds. China and glassware vibrating and rattling. The winds before the line hit I estimate near 50 mph. Deck chairs sent airborne and the weeping cherry was really swaying, heard some cracks but did not see any fallen trees, but is was pretty bad for about 10 minutes with the winds at the very beginning.

Friday will feel unreal......in a bad way ..... although maybe Saturday will be the worse day, looking for a low Friday night only in the low 80's maybe.

Some crazy dew points out there at the present time, searching around and found nearby Annapolis at a very nasty 79 dew point, Ugh !