frd
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Everything posted by frd
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Convection and showers already moving North in the Southern most extent of the area.
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Nice spiral to the South. The seasonal models that had a small area of above normal preceip in the Northern Mid Atlantic are looking good so far. Also, home grown activity is already scoring as the Western Atlantic is very warm, thankfully not as warm as the marine heatwave in the Mediterranean Sea. https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G19§or=ne&band=GEOCOLOR&length=24
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Afternoon update from the WPC ramps up the rainfall along the East Coast WPC snippet Showers and thunderstorms are expected to be focused in proximity to progressive cold fronts, stalled boundaries and round the upper high in the Southern Rockies. The wavy front into the eastern U.S. may be a focus for heavier rain and thunderstorms. This includes areas from the Corn Belt into the Midwest and Ohio Valley, Appalachians, Mid-Atlantic, and Northeast.
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84 here with a dew point of 56, feels so much better than yesterday. Low tonight is forecasted to be 61 .
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Clearing line reaching DC and moving East. However, dew points are still rather high even at locations far to the West of DC.
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.75 here last 24 hours but those two areas to my SW and South have scored with over 1.50 and 2 inches. Bethany Beach with over 4.9 inches of rain this week. Will add to that today and the final push of convection moves East and then offshore.
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Noticed that two days ago. I had to go to the next radar site to the West. Always seems to be an issue.
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Pretty blah here. Just a shower, as the cells have either weakened or missed to the North. Last night with all the nail biting was much better. However, it is early and we will see what the overnight brings.
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Heat Index 102 at the Noon hour.
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Steam bath outside, DP at 76 yuck.
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Severe thunderstorm warning here, a rather pretty nasty storm. Mount Holly did well yesterday with a high probability of storms in NE MD and Northern De. today despite the cams. Beneficial rains for the garden and the lawn.
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Insane !
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Complex and the tornado warning still moving NE Dangersous lightening strikes Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 824 PM EDT Mon Jun 30 2025 MDC025-010045- /O.CON.KLWX.TO.W.0029.000000T0000Z-250701T0045Z/ Harford MD- 824 PM EDT Mon Jun 30 2025 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM EDT FOR EAST CENTRAL HARFORD COUNTY... At 824 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located over Riverside, or near Aberdeen, moving northeast at 15 mph. HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...For those in the direct path of a tornado touchdown, flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Damage to roofs, siding, and windows may occur. Mobile homes may be damaged or destroyed. Tree damage is likely. This dangerous storm will be near... Aberdeen, Aberdeen Proving Ground, Riverside, and Perryman around 830 PM EDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Harford Furnace, Abingdon, Carsins, Belcamp, and Edgewood. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. && LAT...LON 3953 7607 3949 7611 3947 7607 3944 7605 3943 7627 3950 7634 3954 7624 3957 7612 3958 7610 TIME...MOT...LOC 0024Z 245DEG 11KT 3947 7628 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
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TORNADO WARNING Tornado Warning MDC005-025-010015- /O.NEW.KLWX.TO.W.0028.250630T2339Z-250701T0015Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 739 PM EDT Mon Jun 30 2025 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Central Harford County in northern Maryland... East central Baltimore County in northern Maryland... * Until 815 PM EDT. * At 739 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located over Kingsville, or 8 miles north of Middle River, moving east at 15 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...For those in the direct path of a tornado touchdown, flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Damage to roofs, siding, and windows may occur. Mobile homes may be damaged or destroyed. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Bel Air South, Bel Air North, Riverside, Pleasant Hills, and Perryman around 745 PM EDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Fork, Benson, Joppatowne, Harford Furnace, Abingdon, Joppa, Upper Falls, Gunpowder, Belcamp, and Bradshaw. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
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Look at those towers going in this loop in Northern MD https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G19§or=ne&band=GEOCOLOR&length=24
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Continue to miss the cells, they develop a mile from me and then move NE and get stronger Some new activity forming just North of Baltimore currently.
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Insane explosion of convection in SE Delaware during the last 60 minutes. Very impressive, cloud tops going bonkers! https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G19§or=ne&band=GEOCOLOR&length=24
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Same areas in SE Delaware that got slammed yesterday are getitng slammed again today. Northern DE. also with storms. Flash Flood warning and severe storm warning posted in each area. Of course I missed them again for the third day in a row.
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Mount Holly with PWAT values up to 2-2.5 inches for Tuesday, plus, frontogenetic forcing as well, mentioned below could enhance rainfall. One other key impact point for Tuesday is a flash flooding threat. All of the area is in a Marginal (1/4) with Delmarva and portions of southern New Jersey and southeastern Pennsylvania in a Slight (2/4) risk in the Excessive Rainfall Outlook with the concern for localized flash flooding. PWAT values will rise to 2-2.5 inches with warm cloud depth of 10-12 kft, so the signal is there for the convection to be sufficient rainfall producers. The good news is that the convection will be moving but any training of showers or thunderstorms could lead to increased concern for localized flash flooding. There is also a signal for some frontogenetic forcing with the cold front which could also enhance the precipitation rates with the convection.
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No rain here, but we have severe storm moving South at 5 mph near Dunalk, MD . * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Southeastern Baltimore City in northern Maryland... Northeastern Anne Arundel County in central Maryland... Southeastern Baltimore County in northern Maryland... * Until 600 PM EDT. * At 531 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Dundalk, or over Sparrows Point, moving south at 5 mph.
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Meanwhile tracking a cell that is moving East to West towards my location currently, will be a nail bitter.
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Interesting boundry across the lower Delaware Bay on radar, and several cells forming across NE Maryland in a West to East fashion and moving East
