frd

Interesting still below 60 F here. other stations much warmer. Reading PA, and Baltimore at 63 to 64 degreeF

WPC still going bullish with rainfall. Mount Holly AFD going with likely probs for rainfall ( heavy showers with thunder ) on Sunday and Sunday evening with the passage of the cold front, then much cooler and drier. Severe potential at this point seems limited, but worth monitoring as stated in the AFD.

Increasing odds for significant rainfall on Sunday

Last two years epic rain events in May to early July combined with early season humidity to yield tomato blight and other garden issues. Will be interesting to see what this summer provides rain-wise.

Got some help from a couple University master gardens and suggested blight resistant tomato plants. I pre placed order from Burpee. Hoping for better results this year. Also changing the location as well.

37 F. Here. Rather chilly at the local Wawa. Looking forward to an awesome high of 64 today.

SE cashes in again. Going to get dry again here.

-NAO is useless without other drivers lining up this time of year. Next winter should be interestng.

Models showed warmth from two weeks ago, snow threats were never going to happen with the AO sky high and no real useful blocking. Starting to get the WAR up and running. Onto to real Spring weather.

Most model busts happen in a Nina. This winter was notorious for rather dynamic TPV movements and non-movements.

Delaware screw zone.

Soil moisture levels are very low, might get feedback drought and extreme heat this summer.

Fire Watch posted, it's going to be a long summer.

If you are bored this is a great post, 16 posts actually. https://x.com/MikeTFox5/status/1895280190730776953 Talks about the cold, possible snow, SSWE, high wind threat later next week and the possible weekend coastal storm next weekend.

Significant rain arrives later next week. You can see this progression East later next week. Might be a good time to apply pre-emergents as rain will create the barrier, hopefully though, not pouring rains as it will wash away the granules. However, still too early for nitrogen treatments as the grass needs to be growing, if not you riskfuture grass damage. Soil temps still cool. Great link insert your zip. https://www.greencastonline.com/tools/soil-temperature Soil moisture is currently very low.

EPS and ensembles had 5 to 7 inches leading up to our window, and we got zip. Nothing, nada. Next winter I will only believe once inside the magic 72 hour window, otherwise I will not believe anything. It can show a foot and no Charlie Brown - Lucy flashback again. ROI in long range snow hope is a negative return.

Certainly no bowling ball pattern with cold and snow in the East, not sure where that came from because blocking went poof, as soon as it started. Beyond hour 360 there are signals for impressive warmth in the East while most of the country is cold and stormy. Will not be long for Atlantic feedback loop and the WAR returns. Offshore Atlantic SSTs continue warm.

Will be a very, very active severe season coming up in the weeks and months ahead. Start out West and move East with time.

All those whacko Control and Euro snow models are worth zip, in the last 8 years they only provide false hope, an injection of hopium, coke, LSD to the weather junkie, aka weenie. My weenie needs some visnowgra baby. give me, please......

Because its simply really, JB said so.

Time for spring landscaping. I'm ready to get going. You have a beautiful property. I love the fire pit area. Have fun .

The perfect mega - NAO in March 2018 resulted in schools closed multiple days here, had one morning with 12 degrees F and ground blizzard conditions. Snowed a couple times that March, it was March to remember. The lore of JB for sure. I loved that month. Since then March has been blah..... Believe there were three times since then in which we had a - NAO , one period with a severe - NAO that even Donald S. stated would produce big here, but like the last window it busted and nothing happened except cold. Boring. With the warming Pac, improving PDO in the years ahead, and the warming Atlantic maybe we improve in the snow department. sort of like a icecream sandwich and we are in the middle - white, cold and snow.

@CAPE Congrats your area scored as one of the coldest compared to average this past two months on the planet. You might need to use the zoom feature, but its there.

We will trend colder near early to mid March, but doubt its cold enough for snow in our region, except for maybe psu land. The core of the cold will reside in the NE part of the country. Not seeing the bowling bowl pattern across the Midwest, and the cold is easing out West, while the AO continues positive, there is no severe AO for mid month for cold air delivery. Also, by mid March the PNA goes negative.

Blocking is gone. Return to normal and the 50's. Might hit 60 next Tuesday.