They could if LES sets up right. I’m south of SYR in Skaneateles- and this is a perfect NW flow set up for us plus we have about 950’ of elevation.
that map is 10:1 too - so over a foot from Thursday to Tuesday is looking more and more plausible.
Using KSYR at 10:1 it was approximately:
3.3” on Thursday
3.8” on Saturday
and looking like another 3ish on Sunday.
With some good ratios it’s not terrible...
Remarkably we could have two systems in a row where we rain/snizzle during the night (Overnight Wednesday/Saturday) and snow THREE times during the day (Thursday/Saturday/Sunday).
i imagine that hasn’t happened too often up here.
We can’t overlook that one. It’s got a lot of potential to give some areas several inches with that flow and the lakes so anomalously warm. I posit many could see more from that than the weekend! Good luck!
Obviously it won’t see the LES amounts correctly too (esp this far out - errr - ever).
Will be some serious high ratio fluff on Sunday. Can’t wait for that while the football games are on! It’s been too long!