Don’t sweat it too much. Models will struggle a bit with the exact placement of that band. Here and cazenovia got waxed by that feature early February of last year and it was not really modeled well.
I try not to look at recent storms since they are all different. For now I mentally blend it all
I think it will take a lot to get you - but I’ve seen it before! Having lived down there most of my life, I have a soft spot.
Well, the EPS went well West so I wouldn’t call one ensemble model a “trend.”
Plus what I see isn’t a major change of low placement - it’s a redevelopment.