This is why ensemble snow maps are useless for events that require precise phasing . It’s either phases or it dosent and low res models won’t have a clue if the high res ones don’t
i think there will be mini windows for winter weather. I dont think a cold or a warm pattern is going to lock in. Lot of variability.....perhaps we score once or twice
the ensembles are still north of the OP. Should be interesting. models will have a hard time with the timing of the ejecting low vs the northern stream. Keep hope alive. Where is cape?
not really. It dosent phase like the euro so it does not take it up the coast. its just a west to east storm. Its trending more south. It will be suppressed soon unfortunately