Birds~69

33 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

3k Nam LOL

That's more like it...

3 minutes ago, Violentweatherfan said:

I think what will be interesting to watch with this storm is if it really does over perform. It’ll show what we can expect from storms for the rest of the winter year.

I wish it was that simple...

10 minutes ago, Philadelphia Wx said:

Is it possible for anyone to tell me the timing of this event? Will I be able to drive around 10 a.m. on Saturday in upper (far) northeast Philadelphia? Hope someone replies. I have someplace I have to be, and am very nervous I won't be able to get out of my house! Thank you so much! 

Personally I think you'll be fine (Philly)if you take your time. Then again, I'm the type of guy who likes to drive in horrendous conditions even when media is urging people not to drive. 

Overall, no one knows but you should kinda see which way we're headed by Friday...

..

16 minutes ago, ChescoWx said:

No it has always been included as snow since it does accumulate slowly and can be measured and shoveled albeit not easily. I remember a storm in March one year and I think I received 6" of mainly sleet.

How do you categorize hail since you can shovel and measure that as well in some instances and it usually occurs in the warmer months.

9 minutes ago, ChescoWx said:

Unlike many times I think this could be accumulating sleet as the predominant p-type...sleet counts as snow

Yes it does. I remember asking a MET that question. Do you agree or should it have its own category? 

11 minutes ago, Mikeymac5306 said:

The point is there's going to be a Winter storm. Who cares when the thread is started?   

Veteran weenies are very superstitious. One time a newbie started a thread too early and a guaranteed lock snow storm/blizzard mysteriously sailed out to sea. He was stoned to death...

1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

NAM is colder and practically.all.snow eastern pa.

ETA: im not buying it btw just passing it along. This one still feels like a thump to mix/taint....for now

If it's a solid thump I won't mind. But many times it's a whimper meaning snows for less than an hour then we hear the pinging (quicker than expected) sound of death hitting the windows....ugghh. 

2 minutes ago, ChescoWx said:

Latest RRFS still has heaviest snow south of most models

Big fan of the RRFS! It's top notch, usually accurate and fits my agenda...

Only need a 50  mile S shift or so to be in the good/better stuff. Or we could get completely shafted. Still time...

Adam Joseph 6abc around 6pm on Facebook a couple hours ago: 

POST CHRISTMAS STORM

First off, thankfully Christmas Eve & Christmas Day will be quiet! Santa will have some strong winds helping him make the rounds, and only a few sprinkles are expected near lunch on Christmas Day. Highs both days in the middle 40s. 

Now, to Friday!!! A piece of the nasty storm in California will break off and head across the country setting its eyes on the Mid Atlantic for Friday afternoon and night. The issue will be a large area of Artic High pressure in southern Canada. This will send down very cold air from the surface to thousands of feet up. Cold air is dense and heavy so it will be locked in as the storm arrives. The issue then becomes warm air trying to move in in the upper atmosphere as the storm ramps up. Warm air is light and buoyant, so it wants to settle where the precip forms in the storm in this kind of setup. Precip cannot turn to snow after it forms if the air temp is above freezing, so this is crucial in a mixed storm. Depending on the column of air temps from the layer where precip begins, to the ground will supply either rain (above freezing at all levels), freezing rain (shallow cold at only at surface), sleet (deep cold layer under the precip formation zone), and snow (below freezing at all levels). Our area will see all this mess.....the question this far out is where those areas set up. I do not see much rain with this system right now....more snow, sleet, and freezing rain. Some areas will see over 3" of snow!

I will be off enjoying two days with my family and will be back to guide you through it all on Friday. Please tune it to Payton and Brittany for the latest. Just wanted to give you a heads up and my current thinking.  Right now, this is our thinking and it will be fined tuned the next two days. Please share this in case people are not watching or on social at this time:

TIMING: snow for all mid to late afternoon Friday
HEAVIEST: falls near dark Friday through Midnight
CHANGEOVER: Snow flips to ice in much of the area starting Friday evening. 
ALL SNOW: looks to be north of the PA Turnpike with less mixing with ice. 
AVOID TRAVELING: late Friday afternoon into Saturday morning.

2 hours ago, RedSky said:

The brief period of snow on the ECM Boxing Day starts at dark 

lol

Still have time to work on it says the average weenie...

36F

3 minutes ago, coastalplainsnowman said:

The recent and upcoming weather has got me thinking.  Which of the following scenarios do you prefer:

1. Experiencing a 3-6" snowstorm right now, knowing it is going to be washed away by a rainstorm in 48 hours

2. Experiencing a dreary, misty damp day right now, but there's a 40% chance of 6-8" in 48 hours

2

From the NYC subforum...

2 hours ago, KamuSnow said:

A few flakes still, but looks like we topped out at 1.0" here. Yay hooray! Snowpile is hanging in there as well. Currently 34F, dp 26.

 

Ding ding ding! You may be the winner!

I'd say .25" tops here...33F, just about done.

1 hour ago, Hurricane Agnes said:

Pancakes flying here.  Had virga the past couple hours but stuff has arrived! Already coating the cars, grass, and untreated surfaces. Temp is 36 with dp 31.

No pancakes here. More like Rice Krispies with an occasional cornflake. Grass, rooftops and sidewalks covered. Roads clear....looks festive though.

32F/light snow

Looking ahead temp wise to the EOM we will be -2 to -3  for the month when all is said and done, right? I don't keep stats but just seems like a cold Dec....

22 hours ago, JTA66 said:

Now that dem Boyz have been eliminated, watch them win out and drop in the draft order 

Birds need to win the final two and Chicago needs to lose the final two. Then we are the second seed and two home playoff games.

Bears final two games: SF, DET

Birds final two games: BUF, WASH

2 hours ago, snywx said:

Def donot see 3-6” up here lol.. 1-2” up here is prob the limit 

Steve D, enough said....

Accu Weather super accurate Jan 2026 forecast. Besides a day or two a bunch of nothing going on...drought guy will not be happy.

1 hour ago, RedSky said:

ECM has it too .5-1.5" 

Today's runs have widdled away next weeks torch to merely seasonal temps

 

Cloudy as well. I don't like a sunny Christmas. You can leave the outdoor lights on and people will be able to see them better...

1 hour ago, anthonyweather said:

GFS painting a nice snowy picture for Tuesday. Especially N&W


.

Lock it in but I know we cannot be that lucky...

32F

17 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said:

I was listening to KYW about an hour ago and the traffic report was already talking about down trees (e.g., in Delco).

 

But flying cows!  

Temp here has dropped over 15 degrees from my earlier high and I'm down to 40 with dp 28.

Down to 35 F here, dropping and with the winds, just beautiful...

I'd be on pins and needles if this were to happen tomorrow night during this time frame and probably head to the bar who most likely have a backup generator. Birds game time tomorrow/Saturday at 5:00 p.m....

4 minutes ago, JTA66 said:

You would think in this day and age I’d have a chip in my head telling me the time, weather and how often Ji cancelled winter.

Haven't really visited the Mid-Atlantic threads this year but I would put the over/under Ji cancels at 5 so far and it's not even officially winter yet... (Met winter,yes)