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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. GGEM doesn’t look like a complete phase, but looks pretty good.
  2. Through 96 it’s southeast of 0z, but it’s a big storm and it’s turning up the coast…
  3. Ya’ll need to wait for the run to finish. It sort of splits the storm into 2 pieces. I think one of yesterdays runs did this too?
  4. That’s encouraging actually. WPC said that was missing yesterday and they wanted to see what it showed. It looks much more in-line with other guidance. I have no idea how useful it is, but if WPC wanted to see it, I’m glad it’s better for us. @wxmvpete?
  5. Ok, so WPC not favoring Euro’s non-storm scenario. Nice to see.
  6. WPC’s discussion today will be interesting to see how they interpret this euro vs the world scenario. And in my quick glance, the euro op remains an outlier in its own ensemble mean, even though eps has continued to inch weaker/OTS.
  7. We need to convert this digital blue to physical white. Inside 4 days to start time as of the 12z runs with good model consensus outside of the best model in the world
  8. Mean of all the guidance is a nice event for us. Solid place to be 5 days out. Hopefully euro jumps back onboard at 0z or 12z tomorrow.
  9. It’s fun to watch production vary over the year. 13.3 kWh today for me.
  10. Even without the snow, probably the coldest 1 week/10 day period in awhile.
  11. Yeah, I actually liked the gfs op run verbatim quite a bit. Chances keep coming the whole 16 days.
  12. Gfs and GGEM are both very suppressive in this run. Swing a part of the TPV down to our latitude.
  13. GGEM also has that light snow Monday. Then it’s sort of a mess afterwards, but that Monday dusting may be real. GGEM has been bouncing all over and did the same for the Saturday storm last week, so I’m paying more attention to gfs and euro plus their ensembles.
  14. What you all said. Pretty big step toward a 12z euro-like solution, but can’t put it together. Euro has more southern stream energy. GFS doesn’t have that and splits the northern stream energy into pieces.
  15. Agreed. This euro run makes me think there’s a path to get two good events as well.
  16. I see blue! But not as much blue as there could be maybe with that look.
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