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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. WxUSAF
    GGEM doesn’t look like a complete phase, but looks pretty good.
  2. WxUSAF
    Through 96 it’s southeast of 0z, but it’s a big storm and it’s turning up the coast…
  3. WxUSAF
    Ya’ll need to wait for the run to finish. It sort of splits the storm into 2 pieces. I think one of yesterdays runs did this too?
  4. WxUSAF
    It’s not the euro, that’s for damn sure
  5. WxUSAF
    That’s encouraging actually. WPC said that was missing yesterday and they wanted to see what it showed. It looks much more in-line with other guidance. I have no idea how useful it is, but if WPC wanted to see it, I’m glad it’s better for us. @wxmvpete?
  6. WxUSAF
    Ok, so WPC not favoring Euro’s non-storm scenario. Nice to see.
  7. WxUSAF
    WPC’s discussion today will be interesting to see how they interpret this euro vs the world scenario. And in my quick glance, the euro op remains an outlier in its own ensemble mean, even though eps has continued to inch weaker/OTS.
  8. WxUSAF
    We need to convert this digital blue to physical white. Inside 4 days to start time as of the 12z runs with good model consensus outside of the best model in the world
  9. WxUSAF
    Do you sleep dude??
  10. WxUSAF
    It’s like 100 times better than 12z
  11. WxUSAF
    Mean of all the guidance is a nice event for us. Solid place to be 5 days out. Hopefully euro jumps back onboard at 0z or 12z tomorrow.
  12. WxUSAF
    It’s fun to watch production vary over the year. 13.3 kWh today for me.
  13. WxUSAF
    USA!! USA!!
  14. WxUSAF
    Even without the snow, probably the coldest 1 week/10 day period in awhile.
  15. WxUSAF
    Yeah, I actually liked the gfs op run verbatim quite a bit. Chances keep coming the whole 16 days.
  16. WxUSAF
    Dang what a loaded gfs run. Lol warmup
  17. WxUSAF
    Gfs and GGEM are both very suppressive in this run. Swing a part of the TPV down to our latitude.
  18. WxUSAF
    GGEM also has that light snow Monday. Then it’s sort of a mess afterwards, but that Monday dusting may be real. GGEM has been bouncing all over and did the same for the Saturday storm last week, so I’m paying more attention to gfs and euro plus their ensembles.
  19. WxUSAF
    Lalalockthisshit UP
  20. WxUSAF
    I’d vote smoke also
  21. WxUSAF
  22. WxUSAF
    The FFS please God give us snow trend
  23. WxUSAF
    What you all said. Pretty big step toward a 12z euro-like solution, but can’t put it together. Euro has more southern stream energy. GFS doesn’t have that and splits the northern stream energy into pieces.
  24. WxUSAF
    Agreed. This euro run makes me think there’s a path to get two good events as well.
  25. WxUSAF
    I see blue! But not as much blue as there could be maybe with that look.
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