It’s sort of a weak overrunning event that turns into a Miller B type evolution with the big northern stream s/w rotating in. 1-4” across our subforum verbatim. I don’t hate it, that’s for sure. Room for more though.
@psuhoffman…yeah, @MN Transplant picked up on that earlier. Euro is stronger than other guidance with that lead s/w that moves through the Midwest. BUT…it was notably weaker with it (and more energy left behind) at 12z vs 0z. That’s more of an issue than the kicker. One more step of equal magnitude and euro probably looks like todays gfs.
I’m behind Randy, but at 78hrs, the TPV is much less suppressive and more energy is concentrated west in the trough. Less energy in the front running s/w.
Maybe I’ll start up my snowblower at home today. Extra heat and pollution into the air here will help increase heights ahead of the storm and push it back toward us.
IMO, Icon, GFS, and GGEM are all solutions that have been in the envelope of the storm for the past 48 hours. Differences are in shortwave details. I don’t see any of them as “moving toward the euro” , at least in isolation.
That’s encouraging actually. WPC said that was missing yesterday and they wanted to see what it showed. It looks much more in-line with other guidance. I have no idea how useful it is, but if WPC wanted to see it, I’m glad it’s better for us. @wxmvpete?