Jump to content

WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    28,452

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. WxUSAF
    Grilling in short sleeves. 52/27. Sunny. Feels like snow?
  2. WxUSAF
    Euro and GGEM do big west jumps and get the metro areas some coastal love as gfs shits the bed. That figures.
  3. WxUSAF
    Yeah, not Feb 5. Feb 9-10.
  4. WxUSAF
    47/28 wooooo snow!
  5. WxUSAF
  6. WxUSAF
    Nobody mentioned ggem? Notable west jump vs 0z. Very nice for most of our sub.
  7. WxUSAF
    I think this is a pretty good map, except there will be a narrow IVT jackpot zone somewhere in our area
  8. WxUSAF
    Guess I’ll stick with 2-6” for MBY lol
  9. WxUSAF
    Gfs is about identical for Delmarva and points NE. Naso identical for the rest of us lol
  10. WxUSAF
    Ha, I’m close enough to that I’m still kinda wary of getting caught between the best IVT death band and the coastal CCB. But it’s gonna snow and I’m excited for that .
  11. WxUSAF
    I think that’s solid. But probably the floor? You may be slowly accumulating during the afternoon and early evening while the rest of us stare at 37F white rain or regular rain…
  12. WxUSAF
    Then throw elevation effects into it…
  13. WxUSAF
    Tough tough forecast. Boom/bust potential is so much higher than normal. The January storm seemed really locked in by the end in comparison. Someone’s going to Jack with the IVT and maybe pull in double digits a short drive away from places with like 2-3”. Still like my 2-6” range but maybe worth inching that up for HoCo/Carroll and points east?
  14. WxUSAF
    I think there’s going to be quite a range of ratios. If you’re in the coastal CCB or the core of the IVT, 10-12:1 probably? Maybe better? Outside of that more like 8:1? But maybe as low as 5:1 in warm spots with poor rates?
  15. WxUSAF
    Thinks that fair. Will NW trends stop now or continue is the big question. What’s nice for the metros right now is that the euro has the best IVT right through the area and the gfs gets us coastal love. So I feel we’re in a pretty good spot. Wish it was 3-5F colder…
  16. WxUSAF
    100% of 4”+ at DCA on it. Caveat 10:1 ratios. But that should still mean a solid 2-4”+ for DC.
  17. WxUSAF
    FWIW, apparently new run of the Graf gets us pretty good. Not gfs good, but good. It was a far east outlier before apparently.
  18. WxUSAF
    Maybe the gfs is the US women’s figure skating of weather models? Been down for 24 years but now going to win??!?!
  19. WxUSAF
    ^yyyuuppp 2-6” for the metro corridor
  20. WxUSAF
    I’ll take my chances with that
  21. WxUSAF
    It really loves this narrow death band. Better for the coast and areas to our northeast.
  22. WxUSAF
    I like rgem at 36hrs. Better surface and H5.
  23. WxUSAF
    3k has been too dry lately and we know 12k has a wet bias
  24. WxUSAF
    51/49 excited for my snowstorm
  25. WxUSAF
    That looks pretty reasonable to me although maybe questionable for Mt Holly’s area
×
×
  • Create New...