WxUSAF
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Everything posted by WxUSAF
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Eating up all the frozen slop the Euro AI keeps serving every 6 hours
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Winter Storm Threat *Technical* Discussion. No Op Run PBP or Snow maps
WxUSAF replied to CAPE's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yea we need the lead wave to be near enough to generate sufficient confluence to force our potential storm underneath us and keep our airmass intact. With a big -PNA we’re relying on the Atlantic side. -
BWI gusted to 50 kts/57.5mph
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Anybody know if BWI reported any measurable snow? I saw DCA had 0.1” and IAD 0.3”.
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I'm declaring redemption for WWAW with this call
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You all have been paying more attention to this than I, but it seems there's an interesting difference between the physics-based models and the AI models in the overnight runs. Physics-models all have a weak northern stream shortwave pop a low that gives some snow to VA (again...) around Friday. Then they sort of shred the Baja low and don't bring it out coherently. AI models don't have that weak northern stream s/w that gives VA snow on Friday and bring the Baja low out more coherently, especially Euro AI.
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2/6-7: 0.5" 14.3" season total Winter 2023-24 total was 14.2". Winter 2024-25 total was 14.5".
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Looks like I got hit pretty flush with the snow along the Arctic front based on radar. But it’s all blown away…
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I’ve been wondering for days if that would make it to us…
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0.4” spotter report submitted.
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Big fatties!!
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Nice small dendrites. I’ll be able to measure something.
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I like that radar look…better hold together
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Damn. Jealous as hell but congrats all
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Real light snow now
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IAD reported 0.2"
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yeah if anything's going to happen, it'll be in the next little while. But seems mostly like we're screwed...
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Tiny flurries in Columbia
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I’m never gonna kick a 7” snow storm out of bed!
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The 1990s called, they want their snowstorm back
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Is this the first of these new extreme cold warnings for the metros? My guess is last wind chill warnings might have been January 2018?
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Yea the burst on the front is what I was asking about. The evening snow today seems associated with a lead shortwave
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Think we can get the snow band to hang on over the mountains with it? Euro and NAM have hinted at it…
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12z IAD sounding shows a very dry 850 mb layer. Rest of the column is “normal” in terms of dew point depression.
