WxUSAF
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Everything posted by WxUSAF
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New euro seasonal out. Waiting to see some more maps posted. All I’ve seen so far peaks the giga-Nino at +4C and has the east coast very wet.
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That batch is refusing to make it to HoCo lol
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Seems really temporary? Monday and Tuesday only and then possibly a strong cold front?
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Just over 0.2” so far
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Richmond area rain looks pretty damn healthy
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Rain chances tomorrow through Saturday?
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Oh! Already started!
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When’s Elias doing a press conference? My ass needs a good smoking
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Maybe the O’s can be competitive in 4 years!!! Can’t wait!!!
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Adley to Boston is gonna make me puke
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About 1.3” so far
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Thunder in Columbia with the start of this batch
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Yeah I was driving through it on 16th street. That was a mess. Tons of standing and flowing water on the road.
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Looking like a slight forecast miss by the NAM
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Yes. Probably @high risk can update us on that timeline but I thought it was like the end of August at one point?
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Maybe it’s correct but the NAM has been awful this warm season
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It was close. Got a brief sprinkle.
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Once again the NAM looks like crap before a precip event. But hrrr is really rainy for the metro areas tomorrow.
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Gonna miss him when Cade Povich gets the ball every 5 days
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He’s been a reliable (and cheap) fifth starter for several years. Will occasionally throw a gem, occasionally a major clunker. He’s been pretty rough lately though.
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^having the Canadian ridging extending all the way to the west coast is a subtle difference but a key one. If the Aleutian low goes giga (which is what I’d lean toward), that’ll push the ridge inland and just flood Canada with pac puke
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It’s sort of settled into a physics model vs ai model split now? Physics models slow it down and end up rainier. AI keeps it moving.
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Euro ai hinting at it
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Pretty low consensus on what this ULL is going to do Sunday though next week. Euro AI been pretty consistent on it being progressive. Physics models flip flopping between a similar solution and stalling it. 0z euro stalls it to our west.
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The generally NN/BN weather this month after the mega torch to start has almost erased the AN anomalies for the month at the 3 airports. +0.7 BWI +0.9 DCA +1.7 IAD As of yesterday
