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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. Shocker, I know, but overnight guidance got less enthusiastic with daily showers and storms this coming week. A lot of too far north or too far south. Still several days to go, but summer trend would be to get screwed.
  2. Probably not if guidance for next week is reasonably correct
  3. I’d predict an above average month locally and be right 10/12 months in most years.
  4. That seems a little low…CoCoRaHS near us is 0.7” for the last week which “feels” right.
  5. If this ends up a weak Nina winter, JB will be tripping over himself to make 95-96 his top analog.
  6. The decaying MCV remnant absolutely seems like the focus
  7. Yeah I actually think it showing multiple rounds of storms is encouraging…
  8. Pretty spiny thing in WV on satellite. Hard to see what it’s associated on weather maps. Maybe H7 or 850 vortmax? Wonder if that will trigger storms.
  9. Dry soil/drought probably helps a bit. But it’s clearly getting easier to get high end (95+) heat. The June big heat had notable H5 heights, but this one hasn’t as you’ve noted.
  10. Yeah I think it’s probably just the way it models convection. It’s too enthusiastic with (dry) convecting air mixing the boundary layer during daytime heating. You don’t get that in the cool seasons. That’s my guess at least.
  11. It was. Not sure it was severe, but solid. Leaves and some small branches down.
  12. Thunder. Waiting for rain.
  13. I too am waiting to be impressed at the Matrix-like dodge it’s about to do
  14. Underwater volcano popped off under the Bay. Damndest thing.
  15. 104 at BWI which is a record I believe
  16. Next week looking rainy on guidance!
  17. I’ve never had a day in the MA that reminds me more of the desert southwest. Nearly clear skies and just radiating heat from every surface
  18. 6z 3k NAM has a line go through this evening. Hrrr less enthusiastic as per usual.
  19. Split past me and gonna refire to my east along the bay breeze
  20. Damn thing is gonna split me…
  21. Local president of the “I hate the euro” club checking in.
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