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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. IAD and DCA with all time January record highs
  2. Almost like something changed? Anyway, even my snow piles will be gone in the next few hours.
  3. Similar. Could be some bonkers things happening the first 7-10 days of Feb, but with limited cold air, that doesn’t mean snow per se.
  4. They are sliding down the east side of the big central Canada ridge. They need to go to our west/south to have any chance, but guidance has shown it enough that it seems possible. Cold air is lacking though, to put it mildly.
  5. Ooof we have to figure out how to cool the boundary layer for that northern stream low next week. That “should” be 1-3/2-4”
  6. If we had a morning low 25F below normal that would be the lead story on all local news
  7. Morning low of 50. About 25-27F above normal.
  8. Also am looking forward to it
  9. lol dew point almost 60F. That might eat through the parking lot piles.
  10. Gfs has the coastal transfer farther north and hence that backend precipitation farther north also. eta…GGEM shifted north also.
  11. If the Euro's right, we pop a +30F above normal day on Friday. GFS keeps the boundary more to the south. When was the last -30F below normal day at any time? Quick glance...the pre-Xmas December 2022 cold shot didn't do it. No days in February 2015 reached that (although almost). January 1994 got a -35F departure at DCA. Anything since then?
  12. GGEM has a similar look with less expansive precip in the 6-12z Monday timeframe. Column is fine above 950mb. Question appears to be can heavy precip cool the surface down to 33-34 so some snow can accumulate. 35 is really borderline and in my experience, 36 is too warm.
  13. Snowpack hanging tough on top of a giant tank of liquid nitrogen
  14. Looks like northern stream probably if anything? Better chance for New England for sure there. Not sure we can squeeze something underneath us.
  15. Make it 98 with even seasonable cold and we’d like it a lot IMO
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