WxUSAF
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Everything posted by WxUSAF
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Need to see individuals as temps are still warmish, but I’d take my chances here.
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Fun gfs run. Nice to start seeing fantasy snow.
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D10-15 pattern looks good but we can see the back edge already
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Mitchell is/was so explosive. Tough to lose him for the season. If that ravens can beat the dolphins and Steelers, they should be the #1 seed.
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It’s 384hr so obviously not saying that’s going to happen precisely, but that scenario IS exactly what that sort of longwave pattern can produce. That’s the cold area wide 3-6/4-8” type deal.
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Dang I hope we get a radar look like this again this winter with a temp about 30F colder
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Steve Milloy ain’t happening
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I also prefer colder rain
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My wag is that we get a nice period from post-Xmas to Jan 10-14 or so. Then a reset for a week or two, then hopefully a real heater from late Jan to mid February. We’ll see.
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Visibility under 1/4mi
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@Ralph Wiggum…that longwave pattern argues for weaker progressive waves. Everything is positively tilted with an eastward lean. That’s good for us, there’s no deep cold air yet so we need something that doesn’t wrap in a bunch of warm air. Just need a weak wave sliding to our south and hopefully there’s a band of snow on the north side.
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42 with fog. This is the 09-10 winter of fog.
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Dang…that’s really nice. 6z gfs with snow to rain in that period.
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I think we’re gonna get a 2-3 week heater at some point, especially if we get SSW-induced blocking in late January or early February. This period starting after Xmas into the first week or two of January is different, but still looks quite promising if we believe the weeklies for now. Strange though, I’d heard it on good authority the Uber pac jet was going to last until early January.
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Snowcover in southwest Wyoming as viewed out my plane window. Alert Webber that winter is uncanceled!
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Dunno…worried about lack of snowcover in New Mexico. Southwesterly flow is going to be dangerously warm. Hopefully we can get a small event in early February.
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Need more snow over Nevada and Utah or our winter is doomed
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Odd how that works
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I legit lol’d
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Debs in disarray
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Webb’s got a good short thread for all you today. Saying it might be best to root for a deep western trough and build up snowcover. Then hopefully we can sneak something in by early February before the inevitable March torch. Fingers crossed!
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So for argument’s sake, let’s say the ensembles are currently correct and we get a mean trough over us around Xmas or so. How far off is that from expectations 10 days ago? A couple days? Maybe 5 at most? Rough outcome for the never ending torch crowd.
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Yes and yes ideally
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A megalopolis HECS screams El Niño.
