WxUSAF
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Everything posted by WxUSAF
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18z GFS says 8 consecutive 95F or higher days in September. Has that happened before?
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12z gfs says we hit 110 the second week of September
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Ok I’m done. I’ve hit my limit for hot temps. Under 80 at least please.
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^thanks. Glad I wasn’t going crazy. It’s been putting out temps for next weekend and beyond that would probably challenge all time highs in the Plains and Midwest. In September… I don’t doubt it will be well AN, but it’s ridiculous.
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I mean come on.
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Well GFS thinks we’re gonna get stuck in the upper 90s and low 100s starting next Saturday
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We’re doing our deep creek weekend early this year…Sep 22-25. I figure there should be some color but probably still 2-3 weeks before peak?
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Yeah that’s some bad news to wake up to. Maybe best case is a shoulder strain or something like that? Hopefully not elbow/forearm…
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Couple miles from home in SE Ellicott City and having a brief heavy rain shower. No thunder.
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@dtk or someone else with knowledge…has the GFS changed their land surface model in some way? I know it’s been hot in many places, but the GFS has been putting out stupid crazy temps that are not verifying.
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I was at the game and immediately jumped up and yelled TIE GAME BABY!!
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
WxUSAF replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
I’m gonna take the under on the mid 90s heat for today- 2,790 replies
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Euro has it also. Similar to GGEM through FL landfall, but euro gets shoved farther OTS with the incoming gorgeous early fall HP. Still probably cat 2/3 near our latitude though.
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12z GGEM back with the eastern gulf homebrew that comes close enough to keep an eye on. Marginal PRE signal as well.
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My prior for this winter is that there will be a lot of mild air around and probably a lot of precipitation. If we get a snowy winter, my assumption is that it will be with a solid/maybe epic 2-3 week period and if we’re really lucky we maybe get 2 of those periods. Obviously favoring Jan-Feb for cold and snowy periods.
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Aleutian ridge with a strong Nino? Sure Jan.
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Some rain (maybe 1”? Hard to tell because moisture gets pulled up ahead of a frontal boundary) and breezy
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Up to 3-4” of rain on eastern shore. Maybe TS conditions for Ocean City.
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GGEM also has it and it impacts our region.
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Peep the 12z GGEM
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Low of 56
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Some upcoming summer soon you have to figure we’re due for some sort of season long underwater volcano fueled record breaking heat death ridge. It’s gonna suck so bad but I’ll enjoy every day without it until then.
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from what I’ve seen, the idea of a modoki seems basically dead. Basin-wide still seems possible or plausible and HM has a short thread on Twitter this morning suggesting that warm anomalies should be expanding westward soon. At least that’s what I think he’s saying…
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I doubt it’s Holliday. I was figuring Kjerstad, but now wonder if they’ll just bring Cowser back with Hicks on the IL again.
