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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. WxUSAF
    My sister in Forest Hill, MD, sent a pic and they probably have ~0.5" on the deck.
  2. WxUSAF
    Started back up as all snow in Columbia. Can we do anything with it??
  3. WxUSAF
    We definitely could have had something measurable at least if we could have sustained moderate rates for more than 15-20 minutes. This lull might kill those chances.
  4. WxUSAF
    Can see the sun through the clouds…missing the thump. Light drizzle/sleet/snow mix in the lull.
  5. WxUSAF
    Need some rates. Come on baby and thump me!
  6. WxUSAF
    Eyeballing 2.5”. Will measure later
  7. WxUSAF
    A few flakes mixing in. Look rimed
  8. WxUSAF
    All sleet in Columbia now
  9. WxUSAF
    Have a sleet/freezing rain mix falling in Columbia
  10. WxUSAF
    Just looked at the mesos…Blech. Oh well, I’m onto the MLK week HECS.
  11. WxUSAF
    Got down to 25.6 around 230am. Now 28/23. Way better airmass than we’ve had in lots of other marginal events in the past. Not sure it will mean much in the end, but doesn’t hurt.
  12. WxUSAF
    28/20
  13. WxUSAF
    CAD and WAA precip are the 2 things that will overperform for us. This isn’t a CAD situation but we can hope that we get a good thump for a few hours tomorrow. That’s the most reasonable “boom” scenario for the metro corridor (and maybe even N/W areas). A few hours of light precip won’t cut it. Fingers crossed!
  14. WxUSAF
    Sorry, I’ve moved onto tracking front end snow from the next rainstorm
  15. WxUSAF
    High of 39 and starting to tick down. Dew is 18.
  16. WxUSAF
    What triggers me most? -PNA or being in @Ellinwood’s dreaded “mixing” zone.
  17. WxUSAF
    Dropped to 19.2! First teens this winter.
  18. WxUSAF
    Low of 20.7 so far
  19. WxUSAF
    Amazing thread from Tomer tonight. You’ll want to read to the end.
  20. WxUSAF
    Snow depth is good to check against in marginal situations like this but I’m not sure I’ve ever seen actually accumulations that match snow depth forecasts. Even the December post-deluge changeover beat the snow depths by like a factor of 2.
  21. WxUSAF
    I love how on TT, the 3k NAM keeps accumulating snow even after the flip to rain.
  22. WxUSAF
    Next tuesdays cutter sets the thermal boundary for any follow up waves. GGEM makes that boundary much more favorable and has been consistently more friendly than the gfs. But gfs isn’t too far off… Late next week is still a time to watch closely.
  23. WxUSAF
    Under my new “I’ll take anything measurable” criteria for storm success, IMBY, I’ll take the gfs in a hot second. Far N/W folks probably like it a lot less though as it trims precip totals for the mountains.
  24. WxUSAF
    I’m taking the TT 3k NAM 10:1 snowmap as my final call, no takebacks, all in. In reality, it does show about 4 hours of pretty heavy snow from 16-20z IMBY. If that did happen…
  25. WxUSAF
    Even Webb is honking for the MLK day week this morning
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