We need to convert this digital blue to physical white. Inside 4 days to start time as of the 12z runs with good model consensus outside of the best model in the world
GGEM also has that light snow Monday. Then it’s sort of a mess afterwards, but that Monday dusting may be real. GGEM has been bouncing all over and did the same for the Saturday storm last week, so I’m paying more attention to gfs and euro plus their ensembles.
What you all said. Pretty big step toward a 12z euro-like solution, but can’t put it together. Euro has more southern stream energy. GFS doesn’t have that and splits the northern stream energy into pieces.
It’s pretty close to a big dog solution. Can’t quite phase and capture the surface low.
Eta…but a cold warning level event over daytime? I’d sign up for this solution right freaking now
Right now just to get 1” we need fantastic luck, straight arctic air, the entire continent covered in feet of snow, a -9SD NAO/AO combo, joined -EPO/+PNA ridge from Costa Rica to Siberia…