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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. We need to convert this digital blue to physical white. Inside 4 days to start time as of the 12z runs with good model consensus outside of the best model in the world
  2. Mean of all the guidance is a nice event for us. Solid place to be 5 days out. Hopefully euro jumps back onboard at 0z or 12z tomorrow.
  3. It’s fun to watch production vary over the year. 13.3 kWh today for me.
  4. Even without the snow, probably the coldest 1 week/10 day period in awhile.
  5. Yeah, I actually liked the gfs op run verbatim quite a bit. Chances keep coming the whole 16 days.
  6. Gfs and GGEM are both very suppressive in this run. Swing a part of the TPV down to our latitude.
  7. GGEM also has that light snow Monday. Then it’s sort of a mess afterwards, but that Monday dusting may be real. GGEM has been bouncing all over and did the same for the Saturday storm last week, so I’m paying more attention to gfs and euro plus their ensembles.
  8. What you all said. Pretty big step toward a 12z euro-like solution, but can’t put it together. Euro has more southern stream energy. GFS doesn’t have that and splits the northern stream energy into pieces.
  9. Agreed. This euro run makes me think there’s a path to get two good events as well.
  10. I see blue! But not as much blue as there could be maybe with that look.
  11. Hmmm…liking the euro look at 192 as we approach the 20th time period.
  12. It’s pretty close to a big dog solution. Can’t quite phase and capture the surface low. Eta…but a cold warning level event over daytime? I’d sign up for this solution right freaking now
  13. WTOP this morning: ”Temperature in Washington currently 45 degrees. Wind chill of 38!!!”
  14. Right now just to get 1” we need fantastic luck, straight arctic air, the entire continent covered in feet of snow, a -9SD NAO/AO combo, joined -EPO/+PNA ridge from Costa Rica to Siberia…
  15. DT’s thoughts. In a shocking and uncharacteristic twist, he favors the euro over the gfs.
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