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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. WxUSAF
    That’s encouraging actually. WPC said that was missing yesterday and they wanted to see what it showed. It looks much more in-line with other guidance. I have no idea how useful it is, but if WPC wanted to see it, I’m glad it’s better for us. @wxmvpete?
  2. WxUSAF
    Ok, so WPC not favoring Euro’s non-storm scenario. Nice to see.
  3. WxUSAF
    WPC’s discussion today will be interesting to see how they interpret this euro vs the world scenario. And in my quick glance, the euro op remains an outlier in its own ensemble mean, even though eps has continued to inch weaker/OTS.
  4. WxUSAF
    We need to convert this digital blue to physical white. Inside 4 days to start time as of the 12z runs with good model consensus outside of the best model in the world
  5. WxUSAF
    Do you sleep dude??
  6. WxUSAF
    It’s like 100 times better than 12z
  7. WxUSAF
    Mean of all the guidance is a nice event for us. Solid place to be 5 days out. Hopefully euro jumps back onboard at 0z or 12z tomorrow.
  8. WxUSAF
    It’s fun to watch production vary over the year. 13.3 kWh today for me.
  9. WxUSAF
    USA!! USA!!
  10. WxUSAF
    Even without the snow, probably the coldest 1 week/10 day period in awhile.
  11. WxUSAF
    Yeah, I actually liked the gfs op run verbatim quite a bit. Chances keep coming the whole 16 days.
  12. WxUSAF
    Dang what a loaded gfs run. Lol warmup
  13. WxUSAF
    Gfs and GGEM are both very suppressive in this run. Swing a part of the TPV down to our latitude.
  14. WxUSAF
    GGEM also has that light snow Monday. Then it’s sort of a mess afterwards, but that Monday dusting may be real. GGEM has been bouncing all over and did the same for the Saturday storm last week, so I’m paying more attention to gfs and euro plus their ensembles.
  15. WxUSAF
    Lalalockthisshit UP
  16. WxUSAF
    I’d vote smoke also
  17. WxUSAF
  18. WxUSAF
    The FFS please God give us snow trend
  19. WxUSAF
    What you all said. Pretty big step toward a 12z euro-like solution, but can’t put it together. Euro has more southern stream energy. GFS doesn’t have that and splits the northern stream energy into pieces.
  20. WxUSAF
    Agreed. This euro run makes me think there’s a path to get two good events as well.
  21. WxUSAF
    I see blue! But not as much blue as there could be maybe with that look.
  22. WxUSAF
    Hmmm…liking the euro look at 192 as we approach the 20th time period.
  23. WxUSAF
    It’s pretty close to a big dog solution. Can’t quite phase and capture the surface low. Eta…but a cold warning level event over daytime? I’d sign up for this solution right freaking now
  24. WxUSAF
    But a bit more interested in the 20th…
  25. WxUSAF
    12z GEFS seems…underwhelmed…for Tuesday.
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