WxUSAF
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Another day of playing “will the tiny blob hit MBY”
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Pretty much divide by 10 and you got Columbia
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I’m ready for some giant tropical remnant with a massive rain shield. Sick and tired of watching little cells form and dissipate.
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12z 3k NAM for my yard please and thank you
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And your area had that training storm last week also, right? I haven’t gotten a flush hit since late June. Still less than 1” for the month. Looking at the CoCoRaHS month-to-date precip in the area really highlights how variable it can be over a really short distance. Differences of 3” or more in the same county.
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That line is going to die on my doorstep
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Line of showers disintegrated when it hit the HoCo rain shield
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About 0.1" so far. Better than zero I guess, but lots more needed.
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Fringed so far. Hopefully that batch to the south keeps growing northwest a bit.
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Happy Climatological Warmest Day of the Year! It’s all downhill from here!
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Shocker, I know, but overnight guidance got less enthusiastic with daily showers and storms this coming week. A lot of too far north or too far south. Still several days to go, but summer trend would be to get screwed.
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Probably not if guidance for next week is reasonably correct
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I’d predict an above average month locally and be right 10/12 months in most years.
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That seems a little low…CoCoRaHS near us is 0.7” for the last week which “feels” right.
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If this ends up a weak Nina winter, JB will be tripping over himself to make 95-96 his top analog.
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The decaying MCV remnant absolutely seems like the focus
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Yeah I actually think it showing multiple rounds of storms is encouraging…
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Pretty spiny thing in WV on satellite. Hard to see what it’s associated on weather maps. Maybe H7 or 850 vortmax? Wonder if that will trigger storms.
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Dry soil/drought probably helps a bit. But it’s clearly getting easier to get high end (95+) heat. The June big heat had notable H5 heights, but this one hasn’t as you’ve noted.
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Yeah I think it’s probably just the way it models convection. It’s too enthusiastic with (dry) convecting air mixing the boundary layer during daytime heating. You don’t get that in the cool seasons. That’s my guess at least.
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It was. Not sure it was severe, but solid. Leaves and some small branches down.
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Itshappening.gif
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Thunder. Waiting for rain.
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I too am waiting to be impressed at the Matrix-like dodge it’s about to do
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Underwater volcano popped off under the Bay. Damndest thing.
