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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. WxUSAF
    It’s just that it’s still convective season. I want to see some big synoptic rainers starting.
  2. WxUSAF
    I’m not yet convinced we’ve turned the corner on the long term drought and that giga-Nino is kicking in precip-wise…but the evidence is building. I’ll have to see what august looks like. I’m feeling pretty sure that by mid/late September we’ll have turned the corner for good. At least until our next multi year Nina which starts next fall lol
  3. WxUSAF
    It’s gonna be a torch December. Like 80F on Xmas sorta torch.
  4. WxUSAF
    I think their trade deadline strategy hinges or should hinge on these next 3 series. Really need 6-3 or better in it to look like a contender. 0-1 so far.
  5. WxUSAF
    Was just about to post this. Don’t expect this, although NAM had this on and off the other day. My friend might be pissed since we left his boat out without the cover…
  6. WxUSAF
    There’s some around my neighborhood but I would say fewer than usual. Huh…wonder why.
  7. WxUSAF
    10/10 day for late July
  8. WxUSAF
    We’re going to OCMD tomorrow evening. Could be a little chilly for a beach weekend lol
  9. WxUSAF
    A 7.6” CoCoRAHS report from central WV! HoCo was a relative jackpot it looks like. 3.54” in downtown Columbia where I was getting soaked running to the movies and @canderson was at merriweather.
  10. WxUSAF
    @yoda I got caught in the first torrential downpour trying to run into the movies. Seems like it’s been raining since. 1.5”+?
  11. WxUSAF
    Frederick getting the goods as @dailylurker foresaw
  12. WxUSAF
    Euro has been insistent on a broad QLCS through the area well after dark and 12z continues that
  13. WxUSAF
    Improved area of clearing east of the BR
  14. WxUSAF
    Must be because of all the lurkers checking in before our major derecho
  15. WxUSAF
    Yeah 11z hrrrr seems like a winning scenario for most everyone
  16. WxUSAF
    I’m going to be in the theater watching odyssey tomorrow evening when my roof gets torn off in the derecho
  17. WxUSAF
    After 0z and 6z, I thought maybe the NAM broke the 2026 streak of looking like shit before our storm days. Then 12z ran. The streak lives!
  18. WxUSAF
    Just don’t get swept in Boston and 4-2 to start the second half is great. But they have a tough schedule the rest of the way. They’ll have to earn it, even with the soft AL.
  19. WxUSAF
    Spain cannot get the ball in the net eta….until they did!
  20. WxUSAF
    No D3 enhanced for us east of Garrett county. Could be they want the front timing to get a little more precise?
  21. WxUSAF
    09-10 was modiki (west based). Best we can hope for this year is probably basin wide.
  22. WxUSAF
    I missed the action in Columbia due to a funeral… but my son said it was “scary”. As @Herb@MAWS posted in the other thread, about 1” on the day now. Just heard thunder again.
  23. WxUSAF
    Second heavy rain meso issued by WPC Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0766 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 1128 AM EDT Sat Jul 18 2026 Areas affected...portions of the coastal Mid-Atlantic Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding possible Valid 181528Z - 182128Z Summary...A couple rounds of showers and thunderstorms with heavy rainfall are expected into late this afternoon. Hourly rain amounts to 2.5" are possible, which could lead to flash flooding in urban areas. Discussion...A thermal boundary extends through portions of the Mid-Atlantic States. Near the boundary, showers and thunderstorms are showing some slight backbuilding character while moving northeast into New York City. Precipitable water values are 1.4-2". MU CAPE is 500-5000 J/kg across the region, with the maximum on the Eastern Shore. Effective bulk shear is ~40 kts. One bout of heavy rainfall in the very near term is expected across southeast NY and portions of CT, while later development is expected to the southwest which should ride up the boundary back into the Tri-State area. Hourly rain amounts to 2.5" are possible either from backbuilding, cell training, or mesocyclone formation. This would be most problematic in urban areas.
  24. WxUSAF
    Sky has brightened
  25. WxUSAF
    Dunno. I assume fail lol. Maybe if the warm front can push through we can partially clear for a few hours?
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