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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. WxUSAF
    20F above normal on Sunday and 15F yesterday at BWI. Only -0.3F below normal on the month with today pending.
  2. WxUSAF
    I've been too busy (and sick) to look at any runs too closely, but in general, I really like that regardless of what happens next week (first or second chance), it doesn't look like our window is closing anytime soon.
  3. WxUSAF
    Bonjour les amis. Gloire aux prévisions météorologiques européennes !
  4. WxUSAF
    When we have a pattern with plentiful cold air, I’m more willing then usual to shotgun shortwaves at us and see what lands.
  5. WxUSAF
    Verbatim, HH GFS has MBY below freezing from Friday evening through the end of the run. 10 days plus. I’ll take the under, but could be an impressive cold stretch.
  6. WxUSAF
    Yup. Need a bit more breathing room but if you flip through the last 5-8 GFS runs, you can see very clearly that the Jan 6th Storm sets the boundary (train tracks per @Bob Chill) for the 8th. That’s why this run is closer to a 2-fer than 12z. But I’m good with 6-8” with some frigid cold.
  7. WxUSAF
    Tough but fair
  8. WxUSAF
    We may be HECS hunting, but we still are #1 at effortless torches
  9. WxUSAF
    So you’re saying we need to thread the needle where we get plowable snow on the 6th and the HECS 3 days later?
  10. WxUSAF
  11. WxUSAF
    2016 mixed for me. Feb 2014 I had 18” but a good amount of slop.
  12. WxUSAF
    The big dogs (almost) always mix
  13. WxUSAF
    Yes I know it's a D11 sounding, but praise JesusAllahBuddah this is glorious
  14. WxUSAF
    Looks like you're getting lost on threads:
  15. WxUSAF
    That’s the snowiest in several years I believe. Doubly impressive when it’s all after about D6-7. Mean for the 8-10th window is almost 3” alone. @Weather Will’s 1” odds will show 80-90%+.
  16. WxUSAF
  17. WxUSAF
    As (some of us) we know, a big event takes some luck even with a great longwave pattern. But odds for something continue to increase. For an epic month, some small events and a big dog are a typical combo.
  18. WxUSAF
    Lol ninja’d! Although I guess mine’s 6 hours later so not perfectly identical
  19. WxUSAF
    Seems pretty good
  20. WxUSAF
    I’m close to the point where I’d be surprised if we get totally skunked. But that doesn’t mean big totals.
  21. WxUSAF
    Busy with holiday fun today but I endorse the 12z gfs
  22. WxUSAF
  23. WxUSAF
    This is a complete Christmas asskicking
  24. WxUSAF
    Yes! And a Steelers loss!
  25. WxUSAF
    All I want for Christmas is a 12z euro HECS with strong EPS support
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