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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. WxUSAF
    Dang. I’d love for it to be right.
  2. WxUSAF
    Once upon a time, euro+NAM agreement <24 hours until game time was money in the bank
  3. WxUSAF
    Looks like mid October under my red maple
  4. WxUSAF
    Euro is juicer for immediate DC but dry for NE MD. Quite a gradient. Not sure whether to overseed or not…
  5. WxUSAF
    Hires FV3 and 3k NAM are like inverses of each other as to where the heavy rain goes
  6. WxUSAF
    It’s actually sprinkling in Ellicott city
  7. WxUSAF
    Pathetic day for Baltimore sports
  8. WxUSAF
    Incredible
  9. WxUSAF
    No signs of any change Not from over 50. Inside 50 yes
  10. WxUSAF
  11. WxUSAF
    Looks like over seeding is back on the menu for Monday evening!
  12. WxUSAF
    @Jebman needs to be watching Austrian webcams
  13. WxUSAF
    Just when I think the O’s have hit rock bottom, they keep digging.
  14. WxUSAF
    12z global blend is about 2” for you next week. Still several days out and probably still touchy with details given the weakly forced environment.
  15. WxUSAF
    Big euro fold to gfs/GGEM solution. Looks quite similar now.
  16. WxUSAF
    Drought stress is certainly contributing, but I’m feeling cautiously optimistic for good color IMBY at least. The early color change that’s starting has some bright colors as opposed to the very dull ones last year. Lots of rain in late July through mid August and then a dry and slightly cool month since?
  17. WxUSAF
    You all obviously can cash in early, but we typically still struggle in December even with favorable patterns. Especially the lowlands. The last week of the month or into January is much more favorable. Although the total lack of notable winter weather in Xmas-NYE week here for a LONG time seems like a statistical fluke. Mid-December has been the window for small events since we had the December 5th run like 20 years ago. Very little after the 18-20th until January.
  18. WxUSAF
    Speaking of fragile. Euro and icon mostly flaked out overnight. Just sort of meander something offshore, although southern half of the area still gets good rain on the euro. Gfs/GGEM hold with a clear low pressure moving onshore and into the area with heavy rain.
  19. WxUSAF
    All the globals have the coastal tropical-ish rainmaker next week. Euro/Icon solution seems most fragile whereas Gfs/GGEM have a stronger defined low come onshore.
  20. WxUSAF
    I agree they haven’t been a fun watch for awhile now. They can come out of it, but just doesn’t seem to be happening.
  21. WxUSAF
    Is that going to be tropical? Subtropical? Neither?
  22. WxUSAF
    Good thread from Webb this evening. Sounds like he remains supportive of a more winter weather friendly pattern.
  23. WxUSAF
    All 3 globals have some sort of subtropical? Tropical? Coastal storm? Next week now. Euro really dumps some rain.
  24. WxUSAF
    Still very very unlikely they miss the playoffs. But winning the division is going to require more.
  25. WxUSAF
    Yeah it’s a bit odd to see strong Canadian HP build in and temps stay in the 80s
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