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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. WxUSAF
    If we can get snowcover, I’d say widespread single digit lows are pretty likely.
  2. WxUSAF
    With not unreasonable ratios, GGEM says I’m approaching climo by next Saturday lol
  3. WxUSAF
    I love when long term pattern recognition works out.
  4. WxUSAF
    IMO, Icon, GFS, and GGEM are all solutions that have been in the envelope of the storm for the past 48 hours. Differences are in shortwave details. I don’t see any of them as “moving toward the euro” , at least in isolation.
  5. WxUSAF
    GGEM is 6-9” right among 95. Gradient is over @usedtobes house. @psuhoffmanslightly fringed.
  6. WxUSAF
    Differences between runs are again with how shortwaves 2 and 3 interact and how strong they are. 6z gfs had a lot more interaction between them.
  7. WxUSAF
    GGEM doesn’t look like a complete phase, but looks pretty good.
  8. WxUSAF
    Through 96 it’s southeast of 0z, but it’s a big storm and it’s turning up the coast…
  9. WxUSAF
    Ya’ll need to wait for the run to finish. It sort of splits the storm into 2 pieces. I think one of yesterdays runs did this too?
  10. WxUSAF
    It’s not the euro, that’s for damn sure
  11. WxUSAF
    That’s encouraging actually. WPC said that was missing yesterday and they wanted to see what it showed. It looks much more in-line with other guidance. I have no idea how useful it is, but if WPC wanted to see it, I’m glad it’s better for us. @wxmvpete?
  12. WxUSAF
    Ok, so WPC not favoring Euro’s non-storm scenario. Nice to see.
  13. WxUSAF
    WPC’s discussion today will be interesting to see how they interpret this euro vs the world scenario. And in my quick glance, the euro op remains an outlier in its own ensemble mean, even though eps has continued to inch weaker/OTS.
  14. WxUSAF
    We need to convert this digital blue to physical white. Inside 4 days to start time as of the 12z runs with good model consensus outside of the best model in the world
  15. WxUSAF
    Do you sleep dude??
  16. WxUSAF
    It’s like 100 times better than 12z
  17. WxUSAF
    Mean of all the guidance is a nice event for us. Solid place to be 5 days out. Hopefully euro jumps back onboard at 0z or 12z tomorrow.
  18. WxUSAF
    It’s fun to watch production vary over the year. 13.3 kWh today for me.
  19. WxUSAF
    USA!! USA!!
  20. WxUSAF
    Even without the snow, probably the coldest 1 week/10 day period in awhile.
  21. WxUSAF
    Yeah, I actually liked the gfs op run verbatim quite a bit. Chances keep coming the whole 16 days.
  22. WxUSAF
    Dang what a loaded gfs run. Lol warmup
  23. WxUSAF
    Gfs and GGEM are both very suppressive in this run. Swing a part of the TPV down to our latitude.
  24. WxUSAF
    GGEM also has that light snow Monday. Then it’s sort of a mess afterwards, but that Monday dusting may be real. GGEM has been bouncing all over and did the same for the Saturday storm last week, so I’m paying more attention to gfs and euro plus their ensembles.
  25. WxUSAF
    Lalalockthisshit UP
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