WxUSAF
-
Posts
27,418 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by WxUSAF
-
HoCo abandoned virtual school on snow days a couple years ago at the first ever chance to attempt it. Never went back. Oh interesting. I maintain that they could do a full day today. School buses won’t spontaneously explode when touched by snowflakes. Cancelling after school activities is obviously the prudent choice.
-
And HoCo caved…
-
Well thankfully that disaster is avoided at least. Down to 26 earlier. 27/18. HoCo grew a backbone. No early dismissal today (yet).
-
30/16. Don’t pull any rugs out while I’m asleep.
-
Solid dusting north of DC for the hrrr
-
38/16
-
Warnings and advisories issued. Warnings up for all of MoCo and HoCo. Advisories for everything north/east of them.
-
3-4” mean focused on that D10 period. GEPS looks close to EPS on H5, but weaker surface reflection. GEFS farthest off, but still not a bad look.
-
I think our zone (SE Howard) is probably the farthest north they’d consider upgrading at this point?
-
Nowcast/obs thread now? Or before 0z?
-
3 globals really aren’t that far apart at H5 for next week. Subtle placement and strength differences results in a MECS to clear and cold. I’d expect ensembles to be pretty lit up?
-
Euro has the @psuhoffman Storm. Big dog.
-
Euro with the relative save for folks north of DC
-
Falls apart of course. Vort gets lost in the southwest. But setup was there.
-
Not sure if it’s gonna do it, but gfs has a very nice H5 look heading into the @psuhoffman storm
-
Looking at Pivotal maps, maybe not. TT was tricking me. It’s basically M/D line.
-
Well, looks like GGEM maybe has 1” north of DC Wednesday afternoon/evening? More for mountains. GGEM has a brutal gradient north of DC for precip tomorrow though.
-
I’m not believing in this Wednesday evening snow until I see some other guidance show it
-
Yeah 3-6/4-6 seems right. Less than 1/6.
-
Ooof. Northern edge gradient is not kind.
-
Hrrr gets temps up to upper 30s/near 40 tomorrow. Hope that’s wrong.
-
Icon is north from 6z and 0z. Not sure it matters since it’s the icon
-
If it was different from the globals in track, precip totals, etc. I’d probably still be a little skeptical at this point? But it’s not. I think it’s been steady and in line with the globals so I think it’s very much worth factoring into forecasts.
-
3k is basically better for everyone vs last few runs. Would be a big win if it verified.
