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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. WxUSAF
    Just finished final mow of the year and mulched leaves. At least until we get 10 days of U60s/L70s next month and it grows again.
  2. WxUSAF
    PNA underperforms, trough moves into the west coast. Wave cuts west, antecedent airmass was barely climo anyway. T-0.2” rain area wide. Rinse, repeat until April.
  3. WxUSAF
    Sort of. Big low late next week looks locked in, although details and timing still uncertain. However it doesn't look like it will incorporate a strong feed of true polar air anymore. So seems like we moderate for a few days probably around Thanksgiving itself. But ensembles and op runs too are suggesting another push of cold air late in the holiday weekend perhaps. That's 2 weeks away though so take with salt.
  4. WxUSAF
    Euro is 6-15” for mountains also
  5. WxUSAF
    A tenth…
  6. WxUSAF
    Bourbon weather for sure. Makes me want to bake something too.
  7. WxUSAF
    Blech. Don’t like 12z runs for next week. They don’t phase in any cold air so it’s just a cutoff slop. 12z GEFS looks better though so far.
  8. WxUSAF
    It’s just like a winter storm. Can see the backside on radar before the first raindrop falls
  9. WxUSAF
    6z gfs snow for the holiday week. It’s not a crazy evolution either…
  10. WxUSAF
    12z op runs are all entertaining. Looks like potentially multiple reinforcing shots of cold air from late next weekend into the holiday. Definitely big lake effect and upslope snow potential and I think first flakes possibilities for east of the mountains even? Finally some interesting weather! And euro runs to 360 hours!
  11. WxUSAF
    “Only” 34 at BWI
  12. WxUSAF
    ^wooowwwweeeee that’s a pretty -NAO. Hope we get that look again in ~2 months.
  13. WxUSAF
    54 years ago I think
  14. WxUSAF
    CWG winter forecast is out and it’s shockingly bullish. Near normal temps and median to mean snowfall.
  15. WxUSAF
    Kinda flatlined at 32-33 after 3am, but touched 30 around 630am.
  16. WxUSAF
    Nice job. That’s a ton of work. I think you’re in the right ballpark for our area. Hoping we get a 2-3 week period of real winter at some point (probably January as you say) and then maybe a couple flukes outside that if we’re really lucky. But don’t think anyone would be shocked with nearly wall to wall bikini weather.
  17. WxUSAF
  18. WxUSAF
    Euro jumps back out. lol good thing it isn’t snow…
  19. WxUSAF
    FWIW, WBAL in Baltimore going with 15” seasonal total for BWI. That would certainly be in the “good Niña” category.
  20. WxUSAF
    Guidance pretty uniform on 0.25-0.75” of rain Thursday night. Euro finally jumped onboard.
  21. WxUSAF
    Maybe -PDO has at least cooled off from record levels?
  22. WxUSAF
    Record high at DCA today
  23. WxUSAF
    Still a chance this Thursday-Friday, but not looking great. After that? Not much it seems.
  24. WxUSAF
    Over 0.3”
  25. WxUSAF
    Please don’t blow this, Commies…
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