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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. Ellicott city. This is just a 3 second exposure out of my phone
  2. Holy shit it’s happening! This is with bright baseball field lights behind me
  3. Aurora already seen in Maine with some twilight still. Looks like it might not be May 10th repeat. But could be second best of this solar cycle perhaps.
  4. Mini-chasing around 815 with the whole family. Guessing their patience will be 15-30 mins so need a show then!
  5. Just kinda forgot last month and now feels too late. Happy to pass the torch to you or anyone who wants to take it over!
  6. Low of 42.6. Coldest of the season so far.
  7. Tomorrow and Friday nights I think
  8. Snowfall IMBY for your analog years or at BWI: 99-00: 25.9” 08-09: 9.1” 10-11: 19.7” 17-18: 19.2” 21-22: 18.2” 22-23: 0.4” Average of 15.4” and median of 19.5”. That’s right in the 15-20” range for MBY for the “good” Ninas I mentioned the other day. Sign me up.
  9. Damn. Why didn’t y’all wake me up???
  10. down/up to 905 mb and 180mph at 4pm
  11. 3rd most rapid intensification in Atlantic basin history apparently
  12. This was about an hour later and I don’t see that faint red/pink/purple hue. So I think I did catch a little bit of real aurora glow around 815 yesterday.
  13. Naked eye visible aurora reports from Shenandoah area. Maybe there’s a tiny red glow in this phone pic I just took?
  14. Harbaugh is so consistently awful at clock management
  15. Not sure how other factors looked, but I’d take a 10-11 winter again in a hot second as Ninas go. Cold winter and around 20” IMBY.
  16. ^the mole poleward WPO/EPO ridge is what Webb has been talking about on Twitter. He thinks the current Pac SST pattern favors that.
  17. If time, money, and computing resources were not factors, I’d love to do a huge ensemble experiment of climate modeling for our snowfall varying ENSO, PDO, and perhaps some other factors. My gut is that in weak Niña/neutral winters, other aspects just dominate and we just have had more bad luck with those than what “should” happen.
  18. The “good” Ninas recently IMBY are 15-20”. So I won’t complain much if we get to that range. Above 20” in a Niña would be solid. Of course the bad Nina’s are really bad…
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