WxUSAF
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Everything posted by WxUSAF
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CWG article about last night quote tweets me!
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Holy sh-t. Just had some of the strongest wind gusts I’ve experienced since we moved 4.5 years ago. Had to be above 50mph, maybe pushing 60-70. Just intense roar. Moved the basketball hoop that’s weighed down with a couple hundred pounds of sand. Completely came out of nowhere.
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Absolutely zero offensive rhythm
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Ugh terps peaked too early
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Sprinkle watch has been upgraded to a sprinkle WARNING
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#SnowFlurryTruthers
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The central Pac ridge set up shop Hoffman said with it a trough wouldn’t pop How much for Boise? The weenies got noisy The AO just wouldn’t drop
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Low solar would lead to blocking It got the weenies excited and flocking The strat vortex began, and then it went ham All winter it was up there just mocking
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Tenman thought it would be cold We didn’t think that was bold Even DT agreed, he said we’d all see Turns out winter was way oversold
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That was rough. MSU really had a hot hand all night. Felt like they couldn’t miss sometimes.
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Is this where we track the first 80F high?
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Ack, meant 2016-17. Had 6.8” in 16-17 and 13.8” in 12-13 largely thanks to that mid March snow that was gone by 11am.
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Things went downhill quickly this week from potentially waiting for an afc championship game, a medium snow/ice storm, and a great snow pattern after the snow. I still feel good about clawing my way above 2012-13 level failure, but maybe not my much.
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Suffice it to say, the 18z GFS working out would change my outlook on the winter substantially.
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Like everything about it screams classic I95 snowstorm and it’s rain to Scranton. I guess maybe that primary low starts too far N and erodes the mid levels before the coastal, but damn.
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I hope I’m sufficiently cold
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Well said @psuhoffman. At best this weekend will be some front end snow/mix before rain. That’s fine, it was almost certain to not be pure snow. But big possibilities rolling into the following week.
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That D9-10 look on the GEFS and EPS is KUish.
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^looks a lot like the Eps. I said just the other day the phase 7 composite looked a lot like the progs minus the ao and NAO. Well...
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Who the hell gave up on it?
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IF, giant IF, we get a major strat disruption in early-mid Feb, that would support winter hanging on into March when potentially tropical forcing could be in warm phases by mid-late Feb. Lots of wild speculation there lol
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Strat shenanigans later?
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This looks like the GEFS over the pole with the EPS PNA ridge. NAO is off either way, but in general a pretty decent match.
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I like the longwave pattern on the GEFS a lot. -EPO/-AO plus some Southwest ridging. And very active storm track. Very nice.
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If the small possibility of cold/dry in 15 days is too much to bear for you, you could always just look at the 18z GFS for next weekend. You'll feel better.
