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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. GFS/GEFS seem to have a bias toward cool downs at the end of their runs. Ian commented on this a few weeks ago on Twitter. Might give us (and JB) a lot of false alarms of cold this winter if it continues.
  2. Someone figured out why BWI is running so hot this year
  3. Whoa ho ho. 0.03”! Monthly total up to 0.03”.
  4. Liquid sky droplets falling again!
  5. Had some sort of liquid droplets briefly falling from the sky just now. Couldn’t identify them. Mostly vaporized upon contact with the ground.
  6. Last September was 5.2F above normal at BWI and the first 11 days of October were an absolute torch.
  7. Last year was super late with how warm and wet it was. Definitely well ahead of that pace.
  8. Definitely seeing some color on certain trees and vines. Poison ivy showing some red and some maples have color. Maybe stress induced from the dry weather?
  9. Find someone who loves you the way the new GFS loves strong fantasyland cold fronts
  10. This is more of a gut instinct than anything else, but I think with sufficient sample size and no background climate forcing change, our winters would be snowier with increasing positive ENSO until you reach super nino where it’s probably a bit of a wildcard based on temps. So weak nino should be better than neutral or any Nina. Again, just a gut feeling.
  11. My God I’m so tired of warm/hot and dry. It’s like Stephens City around here.
  12. Guarantees they’re still lying cheaters
  13. Low of 57. Coolest morning of the fall so far area wide it looks like.
  14. Then to be replaced by a bigger carrot on a longer stick
  15. End of the GFS is a pants-tent fallgasm. Lows in the 40s, highs in the 60s with full sun. Bummer it will probably be November until we actually have a day like that.
  16. Midnight high coming for tomorrow?
  17. Hell yes. Hoping we can turn it off tomorrow though.
  18. Looks dry for awhile. I’m putting the sprinkler on this evening.
  19. One more hot day then early fall arrives for awhile it looks like.
  20. Broke down and put the AC back on. Wanted to be done with it but it was hot in the house last night and didn’t cool off much this morning.
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