WxUSAF
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Found another link: https://mesowest.utah.edu/cgi-bin/droman/meso_table_mesodyn.cgi?stn=KIAD&unit=0&time=LOCAL&year1=2014&month1=4&day1=07&hour1=08&hours=24&past=0&order=1 Low of 30 at IAD, 32 at BWI, 35 at RIC, and 37 at DCA.
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Woo!
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Weather.gov pages I use to look at the airport obs stopped updating around midnight. Weird. Anyone have another link?
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First freeze IMBY. Nearby PWS hit 32. Wunderground map has temps between 28-31 nearby.
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72: trough digging more, looks juiced 96: snowing in Roanoke, here it comes 108: all rain, but temps a smidge colder
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12z gfs says what’s up
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October temp departures: BWI: +6.1 IAD: +4.5 DCA: +4.6
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Ready and waiting. I bet IAD and BWI hit tonight or Monday morning . Maybe RIC too. DCA probably waits until next weekend .
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1.1” for the entire storm starting Wednesday. Last night from 930-11pm was legit. House felt like it was lifting off. Around 6” for October. Quite a reversal in the last few weeks.
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Thunder
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Had a really loud bang here. Transformer going out? Gunshot? Halloween shenanigans?
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Good to see you, friend. Seems like this winter could feature many of the things we’ve seen a lot this decade. -EPO driven cold shots, predominantly +NAO, variable AO, and moisture around. So like most winters this decade, we probably will get a lot of nickels and dimes and maybe if we’re lucky a Susan B. Anthony or two.
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Well he loves snow and baseball so I’ve done one thing right
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My 9yo son just pulled the term “rain-wrapped tornado” out of his ass. No idea where he got that from but #prouddad.
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Until January when we want snow to stick
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Not to rain on anyone’s parade, but I don’t think a few pics of sunshine at 4 PM in late October are going to do much to destabilize the atmosphere.
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Euro dropping Barney’s hammer next weekend
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20F temp drop with the front on the NAM. Says first freeze for IAD and BWI is Saturday morning.
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Cohen says snowcover advance index supports -AO! Here we go!!! #sarcasm
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My tulip magnolia went from green to 75% bare in under 10 days. Probably totally bare by tomorrow.
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Yeah we’ve really closed that deficit in the last 2 weeks.
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Euro had coldest temps Saturday morning and Monday morning.
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Ggem and gfs just casually 17F apart for Saturday morning. Ggem has bwi down to 26, gfs at 43. Last nights euro was 35.
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I don’t think you can use old analogs (pre-2000? But certainly pre-1990) without accounting for the background climate warming. Maybe they did that, but when i see these old analogs I get skeptical.
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Looks like the 6-8pm window should be good in HoCo. Assuming no major changes. NAM is very chilly for Friday. Caveat that it usually runs too cold.
